NASDAQ · AAL
American Airlines Group Inc.
Industrials · Airlines, Airports & Air Services
$12.60▼ 1.41% ($0.18)at close
After hours$12.56▼ 0.32%7:59 PM ET
Market cap
$8.35B
P/E
N/M
EPS (TTM)
-$0.73
Valuation
Revenue & margin DCF
Verdict: cheap. Price below all scenarios.
The price needs 5.8% revenue growth a year for 10 years. Our scenarios assume 5.9–10.2%.
That's below its past 4-year pace of 16.3%.
Value per share
Base case
$27.27
Price used $12.60 is 54% below this
USD · TTM ending Sep 30, 2026 · Price Oct 30, 8:00 PM UTC
Revenue each value needs
Revenue today $61B. The price needs $107B by 2036. Base case: $133B. At its recent pace: $276B. Bear to Bull: $108B to $161B.
Revenue today $61B. The price needs $107B by 2036. Base case: $133B. At its recent pace: $276B. Bear to Bull: $108B to $161B.
Revenue in 2036
today $61B
−$26.4Bless than the Base case
Value per share · Base case
$27.27
Price $12.60
54% below this
- 10-yr revenue CAGR
- 8.1%
- Ending operating margin
- 1.6%
- Discount rate
- 5.6%
USD · TTM ending Sep 30, 2026 · Price Oct 30, 8:00 PM UTC
What each scenario assumes. Click a column to start from it.
Price vs Fundamentals
Why The Stock Is Moving
What changed
The stock fell 1.41% over the last year. Revenue grew 12.32% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 3.96% to 1.59%. Free cash flow declined 110.32% over the trailing twelve months.
What the market seems to be pricing
The stock has moved lower against modestly weakening underlying metrics. The operating data does not yet tell a clear story — the move may reflect sentiment, sector rotation, or macro factors rather than company-specific earnings power.
What would invalidate this read
Operating margin currently stands at 1.59%. A decisive move in revenue — currently up 12.32% — would be the clearest signal to resolve the ambiguity.
Return analysis
Company profile
American Airlines Group Inc. functions as a prominent network air carrier, delivering scheduled air transportation for both passengers and freight.
Market multiples
Stock splits
No stock splits recorded for this ticker.
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
18
Buy
17
Hold
3
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Actuals vs estimates by quarter, or any quarter against the same one a year earlier.
Next report
Jan 26, 2027
Q4 FY26 · EPS est -$0.73 · Revenue est $16.9B
Same quarter, year over year
FY26 YTD -378.9%Each cell vs the same quarter a year earlier (the cell below) · Q1–Q3 combined -$0.53 vs $0.19 · 1 of 3 quarters up
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
FY total
FY26
—
FY25
FY24
FY23
—
—
—
—
Fiscal year totals
- FY25
- $0.35
- -81.7%
- FY24
- $1.91
- —
n/m: last year’s figure was zero, a loss or too small to compare against
Q3 FY26
Reported Oct 22, 2026 · Latest
HoverTap a cell to inspect
Actual
-$0.28
Estimate
-$0.36
Year over year
n/m
Vs prior quarter
-286.7%
Institutional Sentiment
American Airlines Group Inc. · AAL
From Form 13F filings (managers with $100M+). Filings land up to 45 days after quarter end — read this as positioning context, not live fund flow.