NASDAQ · AEP
Utilities · Regulated Electric
$121.62▲ 0.77% ($0.93)at close
After hours$121.06▼ 0.46%·7:48 PM ET
Market cap
$66.21B
P/E
21.32
EPS (TTM)
$5.70
Next earnings
Oct 29, 2026
To support a price of $121.62, this model requires revenue to grow by 1.68%/yr over the next 10 years, compounded annually.
Historical revenue grew by 6.99%/yr over the past 4 years. The required annual growth rate is 5.31 percentage points lower.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
3.57%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth
Year 1 growth: 5.59%
Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins
1.68%/yr · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth
Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$121.62
Estimated value / share
$160.14
Base scenario
This estimate is 31.67% above the price used.
Year 1 growth 5.59% · Ending margin 30% · Discount rate 5.93%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.
There is not a stable run of positive FCFF to anchor a direct cash-flow CAGR, so the model should start from revenue and margin assumptions instead.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? Only 1 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
AEP
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock rose 13.11% over the last year. Revenue grew 7.66% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 25.69% to 28.36%. Free cash flow grew 317.99% over the trailing twelve months.
The stock is trading toward the richer end of its historical P/E range (73rd percentile) while business metrics are improving. More of the upside is already embedded in the multiple now.
Operating margin is at 28.36% — continued expansion would be needed to justify the premium. Revenue growth of 7.66% is encouraging, but any deceleration puts the stretched multiple at risk. This read changes if revenue, margins, and cash flow continue to improve faster than expected — in that case the richer multiple could still prove conservative.
Performance
Company profile
American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) operates as a prominent electric utility holding company, with its core business encompassing the generation, transmission, and delivery of electricity.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 1 shares became 2
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
22
Buy
14
Hold
0
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Oct 29, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $1.98 · Revenue est $6.45B
View
Dividends
$3.80/shareQuarterlyDividend Achiever · 22yrAdequateAEP pays a dividend with a 3.12% dividend yield, 22 consecutive years of growth, growing at 5.12% annually, covered 3.4× by free cash flow.
Dividend Yield
3.12%
Annual Div / Share
$3.80
5yr CAGR
+5.12%
Doubles every ~13.9yr
Payout Ratio
65.15%
Adequate
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+4.6%
5yr CAGR
+5.12%
10yr CAGR
+5.43%
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
Income Projection
Today
$3/mo
In 5 yrs
$3/mo
In 10 yrs
$4/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$31/yr $3/mo | $40/yr+28% $3/mo | $51/yr+65% $4/mo |
Yield-on-cost grows from 3.12% → 5.15% over 10yr
Analysis
Dividend Achiever
AEP has raised its dividend for 22 consecutive years — qualifying as a Dividend Achiever, demonstrating long-term commitment to shareholder income.
Well-covered by free cash flow
The dividend is covered 3.4× by free cash flow, indicating the company generates sufficient cash to sustain and potentially grow the payout without straining its finances.
Strong dividend growth rate
The 5-year CAGR of 5.12% meaningfully outpaces inflation, compounding real income growth for long-term holders.
No strong risk signal stands out from the latest period pair.