NASDAQ · AMD
Technology · Semiconductors
$504.70▲ 2.29% ($11.29)today
As of 11:53 AM ET
Market cap
$822.96B
P/E
To support a price of $504.70, this model requires revenue to grow by 49.76%/yr over the next 10 years, compounded annually.
Historical revenue grew by 20.49%/yr over the past 4 years. The required annual growth rate is 29.27 percentage points higher.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
17.51%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth
Year 1 growth: 28.1%
Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins
49.76%/yr · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth
Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$504.70
Estimated value / share
$79.78
Base scenario
This estimate is 84.19% below the price used.
Latest quarterly growth differs materially from the latest annual pace. It remains an observed growth input; review whether acceleration or a change in the business explains it.
Year 1 growth 28.1% · Ending margin 18.71% · Discount rate 18.55%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.
FCFF is positive, but the series is too unstable to anchor a direct cash-flow CAGR and the business still fails the steady-state comparability checks. Use a revenue-and-margin transition model instead of normalizing and compounding current FCFF.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 7 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 627.7%.
Do you have 5+ years of positive FCFF history? 7 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is the business model structurally similar to what it should be in 10 years? Revenue is still growing 50.1%, above the 15.0% maturity threshold, so a steady-state FCFF model would lean too heavily on a business still scaling.
AMD
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock rose 212.61% over the last year. Revenue grew 39.54% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 7.66% to 15.71%. Free cash flow grew 107.84% over the trailing twelve months.
The stock is trading toward the richer end of its historical P/FCF range (71st percentile) while business metrics are improving. More of the upside is already embedded in the multiple now.
Operating margin is at 15.71% — continued expansion would be needed to justify the premium. Revenue growth of 39.54% is encouraging, but any deceleration puts the stretched multiple at risk. This read changes if revenue, margins, and cash flow continue to improve faster than expected — in that case the richer multiple could still prove conservative.
Performance
Company profile
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD), established in 1969 and headquartered in Santa Clara, California, operates as a global leader in the semiconductor industry.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 2 shares became 3
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 2 shares became 3
Every 1000 shares became 1499
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
50
Buy
20
Hold
0
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Nov 3, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $1.90 · Revenue est $12.97B
View
129.82
Volume
9.01M
Shares outstanding
1.63B