NASDAQ · AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
$251.52▲ 1.33% ($3.29)at close
After hours$251.37▼ 0.06%7:59 PM ET
Valuation
Revenue & margin DCF
Verdict: expensive. Price above all scenarios.
The price needs 24.8% revenue growth a year for 10 years. Our scenarios assume 6.5–11.3%.
That's 2.2× its past 4-year pace.
Value per share
Base case
$79.65
Price used $251.52 is 3.2× this
USD · TTM ending Jun 30, 2026 · Price Oct 2, 8:00 PM UTC
Revenue each value needs
Revenue today $776B. The price needs $7.1T by 2036. Base case: $1.8T. At its recent pace: $2.2T. Bear to Bull: $1.5T to $2.3T.
Revenue today $776B. The price needs $7.1T by 2036. Base case: $1.8T. At its recent pace: $2.2T. Bear to Bull: $1.5T to $2.3T.
Revenue in 2036
today $776B
+$5.3Tmore than the Base case · 3.9×
Value per share · Base case
$79.65
Price $251.52
3.2× this
- 10-yr revenue CAGR
- 9.1%
- Ending operating margin
- 12.8%
- Discount rate
- 12.8%
USD · TTM ending Jun 30, 2026 · Price Oct 2, 8:00 PM UTC
What each scenario assumes. Click a column to start from it.
Price vs Fundamentals
Why The Stock Is Moving
What changed
The stock rose 13.09% over the last year. Revenue grew 15.77% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 11.37% to 12.08%. Free cash flow declined 186.23% over the trailing twelve months.
What the market seems to be pricing
The stock has moved higher against modestly improving underlying metrics. The operating data does not yet tell a clear story — the move may reflect sentiment, sector rotation, or macro factors rather than company-specific earnings power.
What would invalidate this read
Operating margin currently stands at 12.08%. A decisive move in revenue — currently up 15.77% — would be the clearest signal to resolve the ambiguity.
Return analysis
Company profile
Amazon.com, Inc. operates a vast global retail enterprise, distributing consumer goods and subscription services through both its extensive online platforms and a network of physical stores across North America and internationally.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 1 shares became 20
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 3
Every 1 shares became 2
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
84
Buy
9
Hold
1
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Oct 29, 2026
Q3 FY26 · EPS est $1.96 · Revenue est $202.03B
View
Institutional Sentiment
Amazon.com, Inc. · AMZN
From Form 13F filings (managers with $100M+). Filings land up to 45 days after quarter end — read this as positioning context, not live fund flow.