NYSE · APTV
Aptiv PLC
Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Parts
$44.83▲ 2.05% ($0.90)today
As of 3:01 PM ET
Market cap
$9.31B
P/E
43.22
EPS (TTM)
$1.04
Next earnings
Valuation
Cash-flow DCF
Verdict: expensive. Price above all scenarios.
The price needs 14.8% free cash flow growth a year for 5 years. Our scenarios assume −14.8–7.0%.
Its past 10 years averaged −8.0% a year.
Value per share
Base case
$2.61
Price used $44.83 is 17.2× this
USD · TTM ending Jun 30, 2026 · Price Nov 2, 8:01 PM UTC
The trailing effective tax rate was 58.4%, outside the 5.0% to 40.0% range a rate held for ten years and beyond should sit in, so the 21.0% default is used for NOPAT and the WACC tax shield.
3 more notes
FCFF base normalized by replacing latest capex with the company's trailing median capex-to-revenue ratio.
Historical FCFF CAGR and the default growth rates are taken from the raw historical series. The valuation base is normalized for the current-period DCF.
Reported total debt includes capitalised leases (~6% of the total). They are excluded from net debt and from the WACC weights because rent is already charged inside operating income. The Net Debt shown here is therefore lower than the balance-sheet figure elsewhere on this page.
Free cash flow each value needs
Free cash flow today $412M. The price needs $977M by 2036. Base case: $323M. At its recent pace: $180M. Bear to Bull: $220M to $699M.
Free cash flow today $412M. The price needs $977M by 2036. Base case: $323M. At its recent pace: $180M. Bear to Bull: $220M to $699M.
Free cash flow in 2036
today $412M
+$654Mmore than the Base case · 3.0×
Value per share · Base case
$2.61
Price $44.83
17.2× this
- Stage 1 growth, yrs 1–5
- −8.0%
- Stage 2 growth, yrs 6–10
- 3.5%
- Discount rate
- 8.1%
The trailing effective tax rate was 58.4%, outside the 5.0% to 40.0% range a rate held for ten years and beyond should sit in, so the 21.0% default is used for NOPAT and the WACC tax shield.
3 more notes
FCFF base normalized by replacing latest capex with the company's trailing median capex-to-revenue ratio.
Historical FCFF CAGR and the default growth rates are taken from the raw historical series. The valuation base is normalized for the current-period DCF.
Reported total debt includes capitalised leases (~6% of the total). They are excluded from net debt and from the WACC weights because rent is already charged inside operating income. The Net Debt shown here is therefore lower than the balance-sheet figure elsewhere on this page.
USD · TTM ending Jun 30, 2026 · Price Nov 2, 8:01 PM UTC
What each scenario assumes. Click a column to start from it.
Price vs Fundamentals
Why The Stock Is Moving
What changed
The stock fell 45.19% over the last year. Revenue declined 5.4% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 11.55% to 5.47%. Free cash flow declined 53.95% over the trailing twelve months.
What the market seems to be pricing
The market is reacting to weaker business momentum more than just compressing the valuation multiple. Even if the shares already screen cheap on P/FCF, investors are still discounting lower future earnings power.
What would invalidate this read
Operating margin stands at 5.47%. Revenue declined 5.4% — this read reverses if that trend stabilizes. Free cash flow fell 53.95% — a return toward positive territory would undermine the deterioration thesis. If margins and cash flow stabilize while the stock stays depressed, the gap shifts from fundamental damage toward pure multiple compression.
Return analysis
Company profile
Aptiv PLC, an industrial technology company, provides hardware and software solutions to support automotive and other industries in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and South America.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 1000 shares became 1193
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
20
Buy
13
Hold
0
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Actuals vs estimates by quarter, or any quarter against the same one a year earlier.
Next report
Nov 3, 2026
Q3 FY26 · EPS est $1.33 · Revenue est $3.2B
Same quarter, year over year
FY26 YTD -12.3%Each cell vs the same quarter a year earlier (the cell below) · Q1–Q2 combined $3.34 vs $3.81 · 1 of 2 quarters up
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
FY total
FY26
—
—
FY25
FY24
FY23
—
—
—
Fiscal year totals
- FY25
- $7.84
- +24.1%
- FY24
- $6.32
- —
Q2 FY26
Reported Aug 4, 2026 · Latest
HoverTap a cell to inspect
Actual
$1.63
Estimate
$1.42
Year over year
-23.1%
Vs prior quarter
-4.7%
Institutional Sentiment
Aptiv PLC · APTV
From Form 13F filings (managers with $100M+). Filings land up to 45 days after quarter end — read this as positioning context, not live fund flow.