NYSE · APTV

Aptiv PLC

Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Parts

$43.39▼ 0.54% ($0.23)today

As of 3:16 PM ET

52-week

$42.99$88.93

Market cap

$9.18B

P/E

41.83

EPS (TTM)

$1.04

Next earnings

Oct 29, 2026

What the market price implies · Reverse DCF

To support a price of $43.39, this model requires Stage 1 FCFF to grow by 101.97%/yr over the next 5 years, compounded annually.

Historical FCFF grew by -10.86%/yr over the past 10 years. The required annual growth rate is 112.83 percentage points higher.

Selected forecast · Base scenario

-10.86%/yr · Stage 1 default · years 1–5

Annual overrides take precedence over the Stage 1 default.

Market-implied · Other assumptions held fixed

101.97%/yr · Stage 1 · years 1–5

Stage 1 growth is solved while Stage 2 growth, terminal growth, discount inputs, and annual overrides remain fixed. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.

Valuation

Recommended · Cash-flow DCF

Price used

$43.39

Estimated value / share

Unavailable

Base scenario

USD · TTM ending 2026-06-30

Enterprise value of $291.82M does not cover net debt of $4.59B, so equity value is negative and no fair value per share can be shown. The projected cash flows are positive; the shortfall is in the equity bridge, not the forecast.

FCFF base normalized by replacing latest capex with the company's trailing median capex-to-revenue ratio.

Historical FCFF CAGR and the default growth rates are taken from the raw historical series. The valuation base is normalized for the current-period DCF.

Reported total debt includes capitalised leases (~6% of the total). They are excluded from net debt and from the WACC weights because rent is already charged inside operating income. The Net Debt shown here is therefore lower than the balance-sheet figure elsewhere on this page.

Stage 1 -10.86% · Stage 2 3.5% · Discount rate 8.46%

Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.

Method, dates & sources

Estimated from future free cash flow, discounted to its value today.

Price timestamp: Sep 18, 2026, 7:16 PM UTC
Financial statement period: TTM ending 2026-06-30
Data refreshed: Sep 18, 2026, 7:16 PM UTC · provider

Why this method?

FCFF is positive, but the year-to-year swings are too large for a direct CAGR. Normalize the cash-flow base first, then run DCF.

Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 16 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.

Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 110.1%.

Price vs Fundamentals

Why The Stock Is Moving

Likely fundamental deteriorationHigh confidence

1Y Price: -49.16%Revenue (TTM): -5.4%FCF (TTM): -53.95%P/FCF: 16th pct

What changed

The stock fell 49.16% over the last year. Revenue declined 5.4% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 11.55% to 5.47%. Free cash flow declined 53.95% over the trailing twelve months.

What the market seems to be pricing

The market is reacting to weaker business momentum more than just compressing the valuation multiple. Even if the shares already screen cheap on P/FCF, investors are still discounting lower future earnings power.

What would invalidate this read

Operating margin stands at 5.47%. Revenue declined 5.4% — this read reverses if that trend stabilizes. Free cash flow fell 53.95% — a return toward positive territory would undermine the deterioration thesis. If margins and cash flow stabilize while the stock stays depressed, the gap shifts from fundamental damage toward pure multiple compression.

Performance

Return analysis

Company profile

Aptiv PLC, an industrial technology company, provides hardware and software solutions to support automotive and other industries in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and South America.

CEOKevin Clark

SectorConsumer Cyclical

IndustryAuto - Parts

Employees140,000

IPO dateNov 17, 2011

https://www.aptiv.com

Market multiples

Forward P/E—

EV/EBITDA10.32

Enterprise value$23.04B

Stock splits

Dec 5, 2017↑ Forward

Every 1000 shares became 1193

+19%

Profitability & growth

Revenue growth-37.14%

Gross margin (FY2025)19.11%▲1.2ppvs FY2024

Operating margin (FY2025)5.8%▼4.7ppvs FY2024

ROE2.39%▲0.6ppvs FY2025

Analyst consensus

RatingBuy

Target price$68.90▲58.81%

Buy

Hold

Sell

Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.

Earnings

Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.

Next report

Oct 29, 2026

Q4 FY26 · EPS est $1.33 · Revenue est $3.18B

View

NYSE · APTV

Aptiv PLC

Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Parts

$43.39▼ 0.54% ($0.23)today

As of 3:16 PM ET

52-week

$42.99$88.93

Market cap

$9.18B

P/E

41.83

EPS (TTM)

$1.04

Next earnings

Oct 29, 2026

What the market price implies · Reverse DCF

To support a price of $43.39, this model requires Stage 1 FCFF to grow by 101.97%/yr over the next 5 years, compounded annually.

Historical FCFF grew by -10.86%/yr over the past 10 years. The required annual growth rate is 112.83 percentage points higher.

Selected forecast · Base scenario

-10.86%/yr · Stage 1 default · years 1–5

Annual overrides take precedence over the Stage 1 default.

Market-implied · Other assumptions held fixed

101.97%/yr · Stage 1 · years 1–5

Stage 1 growth is solved while Stage 2 growth, terminal growth, discount inputs, and annual overrides remain fixed. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.

Valuation

Recommended · Cash-flow DCF

Price used

$43.39

Estimated value / share

Unavailable

Base scenario

USD · TTM ending 2026-06-30

FCFF base normalized by replacing latest capex with the company's trailing median capex-to-revenue ratio.

Historical FCFF CAGR and the default growth rates are taken from the raw historical series. The valuation base is normalized for the current-period DCF.

Stage 1 -10.86% · Stage 2 3.5% · Discount rate 8.46%

Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.

Method, dates & sources

Estimated from future free cash flow, discounted to its value today.

Price timestamp: Sep 18, 2026, 7:16 PM UTC
Financial statement period: TTM ending 2026-06-30
Data refreshed: Sep 18, 2026, 7:16 PM UTC · provider

Why this method?

FCFF is positive, but the year-to-year swings are too large for a direct CAGR. Normalize the cash-flow base first, then run DCF.

Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 16 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.

Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 110.1%.

Price vs Fundamentals

Why The Stock Is Moving

Likely fundamental deteriorationHigh confidence

1Y Price: -49.16%Revenue (TTM): -5.4%FCF (TTM): -53.95%P/FCF: 16th pct

What changed

What the market seems to be pricing

What would invalidate this read

Performance

Return analysis

Company profile

CEOKevin Clark

SectorConsumer Cyclical

IndustryAuto - Parts

Employees140,000

IPO dateNov 17, 2011

https://www.aptiv.com

Market multiples

Forward P/E—

EV/EBITDA10.32

Enterprise value$23.04B

Stock splits

Dec 5, 2017↑ Forward

Every 1000 shares became 1193

+19%

Profitability & growth

Revenue growth-37.14%

Gross margin (FY2025)19.11%▲1.2ppvs FY2024

Operating margin (FY2025)5.8%▼4.7ppvs FY2024

ROE2.39%▲0.6ppvs FY2025

Analyst consensus

RatingBuy

Target price$68.90▲58.81%

Buy

Hold

Sell

Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.

Earnings

Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.

Next report

Oct 29, 2026

Q4 FY26 · EPS est $1.33 · Revenue est $3.18B

View