NYSE · ARMK
Industrials · Specialty Business Services
$56.58▲ 0.18% ($0.10)today
As of 11:57 AM ET
Market cap
$14.88B
P/E
To support a price of $56.58, this model requires Stage 1 FCFF to grow by 107.91%/yr over the next 5 years, compounded annually.
Historical FCFF grew by 6.31%/yr over the past 10 years. The required annual growth rate is 101.60 percentage points higher.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
6.31%/yr · Stage 1 default · years 1–5
Annual overrides take precedence over the Stage 1 default.
Market-implied · Other assumptions held fixed
107.91%/yr · Stage 1 · years 1–5
Stage 1 growth is solved while Stage 2 growth, terminal growth, discount inputs, and annual overrides remain fixed. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$56.58
Estimated value / share
Unavailable
Base scenario
Enterprise value of $857.05M does not cover net debt of $5.63B, so equity value is negative and no fair value per share can be shown. The projected cash flows are positive; the shortfall is in the equity bridge, not the forecast.
FCFF base normalized by replacing latest capex with the company's trailing median capex-to-revenue ratio.
Historical FCFF CAGR and the default growth rates are taken from the raw historical series. The valuation base is normalized for the current-period DCF.
Reported total debt includes capitalised leases (~5% of the total). They are excluded from net debt and from the WACC weights because rent is already charged inside operating income. The Net Debt shown here is therefore lower than the balance-sheet figure elsewhere on this page.
Stage 1 6.31% · Stage 2 3.5% · Discount rate 9.4%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future free cash flow, discounted to its value today.
FCFF is positive, but the year-to-year swings are too large for a direct CAGR. Normalize the cash-flow base first, then run DCF.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 5 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 34.6%.
ARMK
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock rose 49.36% over the last year. Revenue grew 11.02% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 4.44% to 4.39%. Free cash flow grew 66.65% over the trailing twelve months.
The stock is trading toward the richer end of its historical P/FCF range (60th percentile) while business metrics are improving. More of the upside is already embedded in the multiple now.
Operating margin is at 4.39% — continued expansion would be needed to justify the premium. Revenue growth of 11.02% is encouraging, but any deceleration puts the stretched multiple at risk. This read changes if revenue, margins, and cash flow continue to improve faster than expected — in that case the richer multiple could still prove conservative.
Performance
Company profile
Based in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, Aramark, established in 1959, provides a comprehensive array of services encompassing food management, facility solutions, and uniform provision.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 200 shares became 277
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
21
Buy
2
Hold
1
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Nov 16, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $0.74 · Revenue est $5.3B
View
Dividends
$0.48/shareQuarterlyDividend Achiever · 11yrSafeARMK pays a dividend with a 0.85% dividend yield, 11 consecutive years of growth, growing at 8.6% annually, covered 4.1× by free cash flow.
Dividend Yield
0.85%
Annual Div / Share
$0.48
5yr CAGR
+8.6%
Doubles every ~8.4yr
Payout Ratio
31.93%
Safe
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+14.75%
5yr CAGR
+8.6%
10yr CAGR
+5.75%
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
Income Projection
Today
$1/mo
In 5 yrs
$1/mo
In 10 yrs
$2/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$8/yr $1/mo | $13/yr+51% $1/mo | $19/yr+128% $2/mo |
Yield-on-cost grows from 0.85% → 1.94% over 10yr
Analysis
Dividend Achiever
ARMK has raised its dividend for 11 consecutive years — qualifying as a Dividend Achiever, demonstrating long-term commitment to shareholder income.
Well-covered by free cash flow
The dividend is covered 4.1× by free cash flow, indicating the company generates sufficient cash to sustain and potentially grow the payout without straining its finances.
Strong dividend growth rate
The 5-year CAGR of 8.6% meaningfully outpaces inflation, compounding real income growth for long-term holders.
No strong risk signal stands out from the latest period pair.
39.68
EPS (TTM)
$1.43
Next earnings
Nov 16, 2026