NASDAQ · AVAV

AeroVironment, Inc.

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

$159.95▼ 2.10% ($3.43)at close

After hours$160.06▲ 0.07%7:59 PM ET

52-week

$135.20$417.86

No multiple

What the market price implies · Reverse DCF

Historical revenue grew by 45.12%/yr over the past 4 years.

Selected forecast · Base scenario

17.45%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth

Year 1 growth: 27.8%

Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins

Unavailable · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth

Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.

No supported revenue growth rate matches this price with these operating assumptions.

Valuation

Recommended · Revenue & margin DCF

Price used

$159.95

Estimated value / share

Unavailable

Base scenario

USD · TTM ending 2026-08-01

More than 85% of this valuation sits in the terminal value beyond year 10, so the result is driven by the perpetuity assumption rather than the projected decade. The valuation is not shown.

Latest quarterly growth differs materially from the latest annual pace. It remains an observed growth input; review whether acceleration or a change in the business explains it.

Year 1 growth 27.8% · Ending margin 2.37% · Discount rate 11.74%

Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.

Method, dates & sources

Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.

Price timestamp: Sep 18, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
Financial statement period: TTM ending 2026-08-01
Data refreshed: Sep 20, 2026, 10:37 AM UTC · cache

Why this method?

There is not a stable run of positive FCFF to anchor a direct cash-flow CAGR, so the model should start from revenue and margin assumptions instead.

Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? Latest FCFF is not positive.

Price vs Fundamentals

Why The Stock Is Moving

Likely multiple compressionHigh confidence

1Y Price: -43.57%Revenue (TTM): 84.44%FCF (TTM): 101.14%P/E: 0th pct

What changed

The stock fell 43.57% over the last year. Revenue grew 84.44% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from -4.75% to -0.59%. Free cash flow grew 101.14% over the trailing twelve months.

What the market seems to be pricing

Visible fundamentals weakened far less than the stock price, and the shares now sit around the 0th percentile of their historical P/E range. That looks more like a rerating of the multiple than a collapse in the business.

What would invalidate this read

This read changes if operating margin (currently -0.59%) continues to decline, or if revenue growth turns negative. The bull case requires the business to hold its current trajectory.

Performance

Return analysis

Company profile

AeroVironment Inc. develops, produces, delivers, and services a diverse array of robotic systems for governmental and commercial entities across the globe.

CEOWahid Nawabi

SectorIndustrials

IndustryAerospace & Defense

Employees4,041

IPO dateJan 23, 2007

https://www.avinc.com

Market multiples

Forward P/E—

EV/EBITDA-286.81

Enterprise value$10.03B

Stock splits

No stock splits recorded for this ticker.

Profitability & growth

Revenue growth5.68%

Gross margin (FY2026)25.33%▼14.0ppvs FY2025

Operating margin (FY2026)-3.56%▼8.5ppvs FY2025

ROE-6.58%▲3.5ppvs FY2026

Analyst consensus

RatingBuy

Target price$220.33▲37.75%

Buy

Hold

Sell

Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.

Earnings

Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.

Next report

Dec 8, 2026

Q4 FY26 · EPS est $0.39 · Revenue est $511.58M

View