AMEX · AWX

Avalon Holdings Corporation

Industrials · Waste Management

$2.65▲ 2.71% ($0.07)today

As of 1:26 PM ET

52-week

$2.43$5.43

Market cap

$10.33M

P/E

What the market price implies · Reverse DCF

To support a price of $2.65, this model requires revenue to grow by -6.98%/yr over the next 10 years, compounded annually.

Historical revenue grew by 4.38%/yr over the past 4 years. The required annual growth rate is 11.36 percentage points lower.

Selected forecast · Base scenario

1.55%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth

Year 1 growth: 2.42%

Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins

-6.98%/yr · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth

Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.

Valuation

Recommended · Revenue & margin DCF

Price used

$2.65

Estimated value / share

$12.32

Base scenario

This estimate is 364.92% above the price used.

USD · TTM ending 2026-06-30

This estimate is at least 3× the price used. Review the growth, margin and investment assumptions behind the gap.

Year 1 growth 2.42% · Ending margin 4.68% · Discount rate 6.33%

Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.

Method, dates & sources

Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.

Price timestamp: Sep 17, 2026, 5:26 PM UTC
Financial statement period: TTM ending 2026-06-30
Data refreshed: Sep 17, 2026, 1:37 PM UTC · cache

Why this method?

FCFF is positive, but it is still too unstable and too short-lived to anchor even a normalized FCFF DCF. Use revenue and margin assumptions instead of compounding current FCFF.

Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 3 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.

Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 2470.9%.

Do you have 5+ years of positive FCFF history? Only 3 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.

Price vs Fundamentals

Why The Stock Is Moving

Mixed / unclearLow confidence

1Y Price: 4.47%Revenue (TTM): 9.69%FCF (TTM): 405.52%P/FCF: 56th pct

What changed

The stock rose 4.47% over the last year. Revenue grew 9.69% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 2.22% to 3.55%. Free cash flow grew 405.52% over the trailing twelve months.

What the market seems to be pricing

The stock has moved higher against modestly improving underlying metrics. The operating data does not yet tell a clear story — the move may reflect sentiment, sector rotation, or macro factors rather than company-specific earnings power.

What would invalidate this read

Operating margin currently stands at 3.55%. A decisive move in revenue — currently up 9.69% — would be the clearest signal to resolve the ambiguity.

Performance

Return analysis

Company profile

Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) is an American company specializing in environmental services for a diverse client base spanning industrial, commercial, municipal, and government sectors.

CEORonald E. Klingle

SectorIndustrials

IndustryWaste Management

Employees799

IPO dateJun 23, 1998

https://www.avalonholdings.com

Market multiples

Forward P/E—

EV/EBITDA7.07

Enterprise value$41.23M

Stock splits

No stock splits recorded for this ticker.

Profitability & growth

Revenue growth3.19%

Gross margin (FY2025)15%▼5.6ppvs FY2024

Operating margin (FY2025)2.42%▼1.2ppvs FY2024

ROE3.19%▲2.4ppvs FY2025

Analyst consensus

Rating—

Target price—

Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.

Earnings

Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.

Next report

Aug 7, 2026

Q4 FY26 · EPS est — · Revenue est —

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