NYSE · BBY
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
$88.09▲ 0.07% ($0.06)at close
As of 4:00 PM ET
Market cap
$18.57B
P/E
To support a price of $88.09, this model requires Stage 1 FCFF to grow by 0.84%/yr over the next 5 years, compounded annually.
Historical FCFF grew by 10.77%/yr over the past 10 years. The required annual growth rate is 9.94 percentage points lower.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
10.77%/yr · Stage 1 default · years 1–5
Annual overrides take precedence over the Stage 1 default.
Market-implied · Other assumptions held fixed
0.84%/yr · Stage 1 · years 1–5
Stage 1 growth is solved while Stage 2 growth, terminal growth, discount inputs, and annual overrides remain fixed. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$88.09
Estimated value / share
$130.43
Base scenario
This estimate is 48.06% above the price used.
FCFF base normalized by replacing latest capex with the company's trailing median capex-to-revenue ratio.
Historical FCFF CAGR and the default growth rates are taken from the raw historical series. The valuation base is normalized for the current-period DCF.
Reported total debt includes capitalised leases (~72% of the total). They are excluded from net debt and from the WACC weights because rent is already charged inside operating income. The Net Debt shown here is therefore lower than the balance-sheet figure elsewhere on this page.
Stage 1 10.77% · Stage 2 5.93% · Discount rate 11.54%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future free cash flow, discounted to its value today.
FCFF is positive, but the year-to-year swings are too large for a direct CAGR. Normalize the cash-flow base first, then run DCF.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 13 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 107.3%.
BBY
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock rose 14.98% over the last year. Revenue grew 1.45% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 3.03% to 4.36%. Free cash flow grew 30.77% over the trailing twelve months.
The stock move broadly lines up with stronger business momentum, and the shares are still only around the 43rd percentile of their historical P/FCF range.
Operating margin is at 4.36%. Revenue grew 1.45% — this thesis depends on that trajectory holding. If revenue growth, margins, or free cash flow roll over while the stock keeps climbing, more of the move would be coming from multiple expansion than business progress.
Performance
Company profile
Best Buy Co., Inc. operates as a prominent technology retailer across the United States and Canada.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 2 shares became 3
Every 2 shares became 3
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 2 shares became 3
Every 2 shares became 3
Every 1 shares became 2
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
11
Buy
24
Hold
6
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Nov 24, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $1.46 · Revenue est $9.89B
View
Dividends
$3.83/shareQuarterly9yr growth streakEx-div Sep 17, 2026 · in 7dAdequateBBY pays a dividend with a 4.35% declared yield, 9 consecutive years of growth, growing at 7.64% annually, covered 1.6× by free cash flow.
Declared Yield
4.35%
Annual Div / Share
$3.83
5yr CAGR
+7.64%
Doubles every ~9.4yr
Payout Ratio
63.13%
Adequate
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+1.71%
5yr CAGR
+7.64%
10yr CAGR
+9.68%
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
Income Projection
Today
$4/mo
In 5 yrs
$5/mo
In 10 yrs
$8/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$43/yr $4/mo | $63/yr+45% $5/mo | $91/yr+109% $8/mo |
Yield-on-cost grows from 4.35% → 9.08% over 10yr
Analysis
Well-covered by free cash flow
The dividend is covered 1.6× by free cash flow, indicating the company generates sufficient cash to sustain and potentially grow the payout without straining its finances.
Strong dividend growth rate
The 5-year CAGR of 7.64% meaningfully outpaces inflation, compounding real income growth for long-term holders.
No strong risk signal stands out from the latest period pair.
14.73
Volume
2.71M
Shares outstanding
210.77M