NYSE · BHP
BHP Group Limited
Basic Materials · Industrial Materials
$87.00▲ 0.20% ($0.17)at close
Pre-market$86.25▼ 0.86%4:05 AM ET
Market cap
$221.01B
P/E
22.51
EPS (TTM)
$3.86
Next earnings
Feb 23, 2027
Valuation
Revenue & margin DCF
Verdict: fairly priced. Price above Base.
The price needs 7.6% revenue growth a year for 10 years. Our scenarios assume 3.0–5.2%.
Its past 4 years averaged −2.5% a year.
Value per share
Base case
$67.48
Price used $87.00 is 29% above this
USD · TTM ending Jun 30, 2026 · Price Oct 6, 8:00 PM UTC
Revenue each value needs
Revenue today $58.8B. The price needs $123B by 2036. Base case: $88.4B. At its recent pace: $45.5B. Bear to Bull: $79B to $97.7B.
Revenue today $58.8B. The price needs $123B by 2036. Base case: $88.4B. At its recent pace: $45.5B. Bear to Bull: $79B to $97.7B.
Revenue in 2036
today $58.8B
+$34.4Bmore than the Base case · 1.4×
Value per share · Base case
$67.48
Price $87.00
29% above this
- 10-yr revenue CAGR
- 4.2%
- Ending operating margin
- 30.0%
- Discount rate
- 9.2%
USD · TTM ending Jun 30, 2026 · Price Oct 6, 8:00 PM UTC
What each scenario assumes. Click a column to start from it.
Price vs Fundamentals
Why The Stock Is Moving
What changed
The stock rose 55.44% over the last year. Revenue grew 14.63% in FY2026 versus FY2025. Operating margin moved from 37.97% to 43.4% (FY2026 versus FY2025). Free cash flow grew 28.57% in FY2026 versus FY2025.
What the market seems to be pricing
The stock is trading toward the richer end of its historical P/FCF range (100th percentile) while business metrics are improving. More of the upside is already embedded in the multiple now.
What would invalidate this read
Operating margin is at 43.4% — continued expansion would be needed to justify the premium. Revenue growth of 14.63% is encouraging, but any deceleration puts the stretched multiple at risk. This read changes if revenue, margins, and cash flow continue to improve faster than expected — in that case the richer multiple could still prove conservative.
Return analysis
Company profile
BHP Group Limited is a prominent global natural resources enterprise with operations spanning multiple continents, including Australia, Europe, Asia (encompassing China, Japan, India, South Korea, and other regions), North America, and South America.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 1000 shares became 1121
Every 10000 shares became 20651
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 10 shares became 11
Every 10 shares became 11
Every 2 shares became 1
Every 5 shares became 6
Every 5 shares became 6
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
7
Buy
20
Hold
4
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Feb 23, 2027
Q1 FY27 · EPS est $2.56 · Revenue est $29.49B
View
Institutional Sentiment
BHP Group Limited · BHP
From Form 13F filings (managers with $100M+). Filings land up to 45 days after quarter end — read this as positioning context, not live fund flow.