NYSE · BKD

Brookdale Senior Living Inc.

Healthcare · Medical - Care Facilities

$11.58▼ 0.77% ($0.09)at close

As of 4:00 PM ET

52-week

$7.49$17.09

Market cap

$2.77B

P/E

No multiple

What the market price implies · Reverse DCF

To support a price of $11.58, this model requires revenue to grow by 2.64%/yr over the next 10 years, compounded annually.

Historical revenue grew by 3.29%/yr over the past 4 years. The required annual growth rate is 0.64 percentage points lower.

Selected forecast · Base scenario

0.8%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth

Year 1 growth: 0%

Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins

2.64%/yr · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth

Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.

Valuation

Recommended · Revenue & margin DCF

Price used

$11.58

Estimated value / share

$9.29

Base scenario

This estimate is 19.79% below the price used.

USD · TTM ending 2026-06-30

Latest quarterly growth differs materially from the latest annual pace. It remains an observed growth input; review whether acceleration or a change in the business explains it.

Year 1 growth 0% · Ending margin 5.85% · Discount rate 6.95%

Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.

Method, dates & sources

Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.

Price timestamp: Sep 17, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
Financial statement period: TTM ending 2026-06-30
Data refreshed: Sep 17, 2026, 6:35 PM UTC · cache

Why this method?

FCFF is positive, but it is still too unstable and too short-lived to anchor even a normalized FCFF DCF. Use revenue and margin assumptions instead of compounding current FCFF.

Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 4 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.

Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 173.7%.

Do you have 5+ years of positive FCFF history? Only 4 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.

Price vs Fundamentals

Why The Stock Is Moving

Optimism is getting priced inModerate confidence

1Y Price: 55.44%Revenue (TTM): -2.3%FCF (TTM): 38.97%P/FCF: 100th pct

What changed

The stock rose 55.44% over the last year. Revenue declined 2.3% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 1.7% to 3.75%. Free cash flow grew 38.97% over the trailing twelve months.

What the market seems to be pricing

The stock is trading toward the richer end of its historical P/FCF range (100th percentile) while business metrics are improving. More of the upside is already embedded in the multiple now.

What would invalidate this read

Operating margin is at 3.75% — continued expansion would be needed to justify the premium. This read changes if revenue, margins, and cash flow continue to improve faster than expected — in that case the richer multiple could still prove conservative.

Performance

Return analysis

Company profile

Brookdale Senior Living Inc., founded in 2005 and based in Brentwood, Tennessee, specializes in the ownership, operation, and management of senior residential communities across the United States.

CEONikolas W. Stengle

SectorHealthcare

IndustryMedical - Care Facilities

Employees33,000

IPO dateNov 22, 2005

https://www.brookdale.com

Market multiples

Forward P/E—

EV/EBITDA25.64

Enterprise value$8.91B

Stock splits

Apr 8, 2015↓ Reverse

Every 6 shares became 5

-17%

Profitability & growth

Revenue growth-11.61%

Gross margin (FY2025)20.64%▼6.4ppvs FY2024

Operating margin (FY2025)0.55%▼1.0ppvs FY2024

ROEN/A

Analyst consensus

RatingBuy

Target price$19.00▲64.08%

Buy

Hold

Sell

Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.

Earnings

Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.

Next report

Nov 5, 2026

Q4 FY26 · EPS est -$0.02 · Revenue est $721.73M

View