NYSE: CF
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs
Market Cap
$18.01B
52w High
$141.96
52w Low
$75.42
P/E
8.60
Volume
407.26K
Outstanding Shares
153.63M
Performance
Return analysis
Price vs Fundamentals
Why The Stock Is Moving
What changed
The stock rose 40.14% over the last year. Revenue grew 20.04% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 33.36% to 38.12%. Free cash flow grew 6.88% over the trailing twelve months.
What the market seems to be pricing
The stock is trading toward the richer end of its historical P/FCF range (65th percentile) while business metrics are improving. More of the upside is already embedded in the multiple now.
What would invalidate this read
Operating margin is at 38.12% — continued expansion would be needed to justify the premium. Revenue growth of 20.04% is encouraging, but any deceleration puts the stretched multiple at risk. This read changes if revenue, margins, and cash flow continue to improve faster than expected — in that case the richer multiple could still prove conservative.
Company profile
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a global producer and distributor of hydrogen and nitrogen-based products.
Valuation
Stock splits
Every 1 shares became 5
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
21
Buy
14
Hold
6
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Nov 4, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $3.04 · Revenue est $1.84B
View
Dividends
$2.10/shareQuarterlyDividend Achiever · 20yrSafeCF pays a dividend with a 1.79% dividend yield, 20 consecutive years of growth, growing at 11.84% annually, covered 5.5× by free cash flow.
Dividend Yield
1.79%
Annual Div / Share
$2.10
5yr CAGR
+11.84%
Doubles every ~6.2yr
Payout Ratio
14.96%
Safe
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+9.49%
5yr CAGR
+11.84%
10yr CAGR
+5.76%
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
Income Projection
Today
$1/mo
In 5 yrs
$3/mo
In 10 yrs
$5/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$18/yr $1/mo | $31/yr+75% $3/mo | $55/yr+206% $5/mo |
Yield-on-cost grows from 1.79% → 5.49% over 10yr
Analysis
Dividend Strengths
Dividend Achiever
CF has raised its dividend for 20 consecutive years — qualifying as a Dividend Achiever, demonstrating long-term commitment to shareholder income.
Well-covered by free cash flow
The dividend is covered 5.5× by free cash flow, indicating the company generates sufficient cash to sustain and potentially grow the payout without straining its finances.
Strong dividend growth rate
The 5-year CAGR of 11.84% meaningfully outpaces inflation, compounding real income growth for long-term holders.
Risks to Watch
No strong risk signal stands out from the latest period pair.