NYSE · CNM
Industrials · Industrial - Distribution
$40.85▼ 1.80% ($0.75)at close
As of 4:00 PM ET
Market cap
$7.65B
P/E
To support a price of $40.85, this model requires Stage 1 FCFF to grow by -7.76%/yr over the next 5 years, compounded annually.
Historical FCFF grew by 16.1%/yr over the past 5 years. The required annual growth rate is 23.86 percentage points lower.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
16.1%/yr · Stage 1 default · years 1–5
Annual overrides take precedence over the Stage 1 default.
Market-implied · Other assumptions held fixed
-7.76%/yr · Stage 1 · years 1–5
Stage 1 growth is solved while Stage 2 growth, terminal growth, discount inputs, and annual overrides remain fixed. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$40.85
Estimated value / share
$139.93
Base scenario
This estimate is 242.56% above the price used.
FCFF base normalized by replacing latest capex with the company's trailing median capex-to-revenue ratio.
Historical FCFF CAGR and the default growth rates are taken from the raw historical series. The valuation base is normalized for the current-period DCF.
Reported total debt includes capitalised leases (~8% of the total). They are excluded from net debt and from the WACC weights because rent is already charged inside operating income. The Net Debt shown here is therefore lower than the balance-sheet figure elsewhere on this page.
This estimate is at least 3× the price used. Review the assumptions behind the gap.
Stage 1 16.1% · Stage 2 8.85% · Discount rate 8.58%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future free cash flow, discounted to its value today.
FCFF is positive, but the year-to-year swings are too large for a direct CAGR. Normalize the cash-flow base first, then run DCF.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 8 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 3903.7%.
CNM
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock fell 15.88% over the last year. Revenue declined 0.54% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 9.44% to 9.64%. Free cash flow grew 11.35% over the trailing twelve months.
Visible fundamentals weakened far less than the stock price, and the shares now sit around the 33rd percentile of their historical P/FCF range. That looks more like a rerating of the multiple than a collapse in the business.
This read changes if operating margin (currently 9.64%) continues to decline, or if revenue growth turns negative. The bull case requires the business to hold its current trajectory.
Performance
Company profile
Core & Main, Inc. (CNM) is a leading supplier of vital infrastructure products and services across the United States.
Market multiples
Stock splits
No stock splits recorded for this ticker.
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
8
Buy
5
Hold
1
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Dec 8, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $0.96 · Revenue est $2.14B
View
17.21
Volume
5.43M
Shares outstanding
187.19M