NYSE · COHR
Technology · Hardware, Equipment & Parts
$317.36▲ 7.22% ($21.38)at close
After hours$317.30▼ 0.02%·7:59 PM ET
To support a price of $317.36, this model requires revenue to grow by 51.34%/yr over the next 10 years, compounded annually.
Historical revenue grew by 21.04%/yr over the past 4 years. The required annual growth rate is 30.30 percentage points higher.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
16.4%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth
Year 1 growth: 25.76%
Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins
51.34%/yr · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth
Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$317.36
Estimated value / share
$37.02
Base scenario
This estimate is 88.33% below the price used.
Year 1 growth 25.76% · Ending margin 12.67% · Discount rate 16.02%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.
There is not a stable run of positive FCFF to anchor a direct cash-flow CAGR, so the model should start from revenue and margin assumptions instead.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? Latest FCFF is not positive.
COHR
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock rose 193.72% over the last year. Revenue grew 22.51% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 9.45% to 11.96%. Free cash flow declined 634.63% over the trailing twelve months.
The stock is trading toward the richer end of its historical P/E range (75th percentile) while business metrics are improving. More of the upside is already embedded in the multiple now.
Operating margin is at 11.96% — continued expansion would be needed to justify the premium. Revenue growth of 22.51% is encouraging, but any deceleration puts the stretched multiple at risk. This read changes if revenue, margins, and cash flow continue to improve faster than expected — in that case the richer multiple could still prove conservative.
Performance
Company profile
Coherent, Inc. specializes in advanced laser technologies, offering a comprehensive suite of products that includes lasers, laser-based solutions, and complete systems.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
25
Buy
6
Hold
0
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Nov 4, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $1.97 · Revenue est $2.3B
View
Market cap
$62.09B
P/E
77.03
EPS (TTM)
$4.12
Next earnings
Nov 4, 2026