NYSE · COTY

Coty Inc.

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

$2.63▼ 2.23% ($0.06)at close

As of 4:00 PM ET

52-week

$1.82$4.56

Market cap

$2.32B

P/E

-3.78

Volume

5.98M

Shares outstanding

880.47M

What the market price implies · Reverse DCF

To support a price of $2.63, this model requires revenue to grow by 3.39%/yr over the next 10 years, compounded annually.

Historical revenue grew by 2.29%/yr over the past 4 years. The required annual growth rate is 1.10 percentage points higher.

Selected forecast · Base scenario

0.94%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth

Year 1 growth: 0.72%

Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins

3.39%/yr · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth

Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.

Valuation

Recommended · Revenue & margin DCF

Price used

$2.63

Estimated value / share

$1.26

Base scenario

This estimate is 52.12% below the price used.

USD · TTM ending 2026-06-30

Year 1 growth 0.72% · Ending margin 0% · Discount rate 6.79%

Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.

Method, dates & sources

Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.

Price timestamp: Sep 10, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
Financial statement period: TTM ending 2026-06-30
Data refreshed: Sep 11, 2026, 2:43 AM UTC · provider

Why this method?

FCFF is positive, but the series is too unstable to anchor a direct cash-flow CAGR and the business still fails the steady-state comparability checks. Use a revenue-and-margin transition model instead of normalizing and compounding current FCFF.

Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 6 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.

Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 70.6%.

Do you have 5+ years of positive FCFF history? 6 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.

Is the business model structurally similar to what it should be in 10 years? Operating margin moved 11.2 percentage points across the last five years, above the 10.0-point stability threshold, so steady-state FCFF is not a reliable anchor yet.

Price vs Fundamentals

Why The Stock Is Moving

Likely multiple compressionHigh confidence

1Y Price: -34.58%Revenue (TTM): -1.46%FCF (TTM): 25.43%P/FCF: 6th pct

What changed

The stock fell 34.58% over the last year. Revenue declined 1.46% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 4.09% to 5%. Free cash flow grew 25.43% over the trailing twelve months.

What the market seems to be pricing

Visible fundamentals weakened far less than the stock price, and the shares now sit around the 6th percentile of their historical P/FCF range. That looks more like a rerating of the multiple than a collapse in the business.

What would invalidate this read

This read changes if operating margin (currently 5%) continues to decline, or if revenue growth turns negative. The bull case requires the business to hold its current trajectory.

Performance

Return analysis

Company profile

Coty Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells branded beauty products worldwide.

CEOMarkus Strobel

SectorConsumer Defensive

IndustryHousehold & Personal Products

Employees11,335

IPO dateJun 13, 2013

https://www.coty.com

Market multiples

Forward P/E—

EV/EBITDA189.61

Enterprise value$5.16B

Stock splits

No stock splits recorded for this ticker.

Profitability & growth

Revenue growth1.34%

Gross margin59.09%▼1.9ppvs FY2025

Operating margin5%▼5.5ppvs FY2025

ROE-17.74%▼8.1ppYoY

Analyst consensus

RatingHold

Target price$2.67▲1.52%

Buy

Hold

Sell

Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.

Earnings

Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.

Next report

Nov 4, 2026

Q4 FY26 · EPS est $0.12 · Revenue est $1.53B

View