NYSE · DAY

Dayforce Inc

Technology · Software - Application

$69.86▲ 1.36% ($0.94)at close

As of 4:00 PM ET

52-week

$48.01$69.86

Market cap

$11.18B

P/E

619.09

Volume

30.30M

Shares outstanding

160.03M

What the market price implies · Reverse DCF

To support a price of $69.86, this model requires revenue to grow by 30.72%/yr over the next 10 years, compounded annually.

Historical revenue grew by 20.22%/yr over the past 4 years. The required annual growth rate is 10.50 percentage points higher.

Selected forecast · Base scenario

10.87%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth

Year 1 growth: 17.05%

Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins

30.72%/yr · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth

Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.

Valuation

Recommended · Revenue & margin DCF

Price used

$69.86

Estimated value / share

$14.20

Base scenario

This estimate is 79.68% below the price used.

USD · TTM ending 2025-09-30

Year 1 growth 17.05% · Ending margin 8.06% · Discount rate 10.42%

Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.

Method, dates & sources

Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.

Price timestamp: Feb 3, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Financial statement period: TTM ending 2025-09-30
Data refreshed: Sep 11, 2026, 1:25 AM UTC · provider

Why this method?

There is not a stable run of positive FCFF to anchor a direct cash-flow CAGR, so the model should start from revenue and margin assumptions instead.

Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? Only 1 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.

Price vs Fundamentals

Why The Stock Is Moving

Mixed / unclearLow confidence

Note: The most recent financial data is over 3 months old. Metrics shown may not reflect the latest reporting period.

1Y Price: -1.72%Revenue (TTM): 11.73%FCF (TTM): -8.45%P/FCF: 56th pct

What changed

The stock fell 1.72% over the last year. Revenue grew 11.73% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 6.75% to 6.99%. Free cash flow declined 8.45% over the trailing twelve months.

What the market seems to be pricing

The stock has moved lower against modestly improving underlying metrics. The operating data does not yet tell a clear story — the move may reflect sentiment, sector rotation, or macro factors rather than company-specific earnings power.

What would invalidate this read

Operating margin currently stands at 6.99%. A decisive move in revenue — currently up 11.73% — would be the clearest signal to resolve the ambiguity.

Performance

Return analysis

Company profile

Dayforce Inc. operates as a leading software provider focused on human capital management (HCM) solutions, serving businesses throughout the United States, Canada, and other international markets.

CEOStephen H. Holdridge

SectorTechnology

IndustrySoftware - Application

Employees9,600

IPO dateApr 26, 2018

https://www.dayforce.com

Market multiples

Forward P/E—

EV/EBITDA42.07

Enterprise value$12.12B

Stock splits

No stock splits recorded for this ticker.

Profitability & growth

Revenue growth9.45%

Gross margin54.83%▲3.4ppvs FY2023

Operating margin7.27%▼2.9ppvs FY2023

ROE-5.71%▼6.4ppvs FY2024

Analyst consensus

RatingHold

Target price$67.71▼3.08%

Buy

Hold

Sell

Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.

Earnings

Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.

Next report

Feb 4, 2026

Q2 FY26 · EPS est $0.70 · Revenue est $515.85M

View