NASDAQ · DISCA
Communication Services · Broadcasting
$24.43▲ 5.90% ($1.36)at close
As of 3:47 PM ET
Market cap
$0.00
To support a price of $24.43, this model requires revenue to grow by 9.44%/yr over the next 10 years, compounded annually.
Historical revenue grew by 32.25%/yr over the past 4 years. The required annual growth rate is 22.81 percentage points lower.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
3.46%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth
Year 1 growth: 5.42%
Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins
9.44%/yr · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth
Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$24.43
Estimated value / share
$11.17
Base scenario
This estimate is 54.27% below the price used.
Year 1 growth 5.42% · Ending margin 7.19% · Discount rate 9.05%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.
There is not a stable run of positive FCFF to anchor a direct cash-flow CAGR, so the model should start from revenue and margin assumptions instead.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? Latest FCFF is not positive.
DISCA
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock fell 38.63% over the last year. Revenue declined 6.05% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 0.57% to 5.35%. Free cash flow declined 46.37% over the trailing twelve months.
The market is reacting to weaker business momentum more than just compressing the valuation multiple. Even if the shares already screen cheap on P/FCF, investors are still discounting lower future earnings power.
Operating margin stands at 5.35%. Revenue declined 6.05% — this read reverses if that trend stabilizes. Free cash flow fell 46.37% — a return toward positive territory would undermine the deterioration thesis. If margins and cash flow stabilize while the stock stays depressed, the gap shifts from fundamental damage toward pure multiple compression.
Performance
Company profile
Warner Bros.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 1000 shares became 1957
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
10
Buy
30
Hold
2
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Apr 27, 2022
Q3 FY22 · EPS est $0.59 · Revenue est $3.13B
View
P/E
85.02
Volume
22.36M
Shares outstanding
0.00