NYSE · DOV
Industrials · Industrial - Machinery
$187.37▼ 2.12% ($4.05)at close
As of 4:00 PM ET
Market cap
$25.23B
P/E
To support a price of $187.37, this model requires Stage 1 FCFF to grow by 13.87%/yr over the next 5 years, compounded annually.
Historical FCFF grew by 2.65%/yr over the past 10 years. The required annual growth rate is 11.22 percentage points higher.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
2.65%/yr · Stage 1 default · years 1–5
Annual overrides take precedence over the Stage 1 default.
Market-implied · Other assumptions held fixed
13.87%/yr · Stage 1 · years 1–5
Stage 1 growth is solved while Stage 2 growth, terminal growth, discount inputs, and annual overrides remain fixed. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$187.37
Estimated value / share
$113.88
Base scenario
This estimate is 39.22% below the price used.
FCFF base normalized by replacing latest capex with the company's trailing median capex-to-revenue ratio.
Historical FCFF CAGR and the default growth rates are taken from the raw historical series. The valuation base is normalized for the current-period DCF.
Stage 1 2.65% · Stage 2 3.5% · Discount rate 10.28%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future free cash flow, discounted to its value today.
FCFF is positive, but the year-to-year swings are too large for a direct CAGR. Normalize the cash-flow base first, then run DCF.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 26 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 112.0%.
DOV
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock rose 6.68% over the last year. Revenue grew 7.56% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 16.34% to 16.87%. Free cash flow grew 110.8% over the trailing twelve months.
The stock has moved higher against modestly improving underlying metrics. The operating data does not yet tell a clear story — the move may reflect sentiment, sector rotation, or macro factors rather than company-specific earnings power.
Operating margin currently stands at 16.87%. A decisive move in revenue — currently up 7.56% — would be the clearest signal to resolve the ambiguity.
Performance
Company profile
Dover Corporation operates as a global enterprise, supplying a wide array of industrial equipment, essential components, consumable products, replacement parts, software and digital platforms, and comprehensive support services.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 500 shares became 619
Every 200 shares became 241
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
19
Buy
9
Hold
0
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Oct 22, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $2.86 · Revenue est $2.21B
View
Dividends
$2.09/shareQuarterlyDividend Aristocrat · 43yrSafeDOV pays a dividend with a 1.11% dividend yield, 43 consecutive years of growth, growing at 0.99% annually, covered 3.9× by free cash flow.
Dividend Yield
1.11%
Annual Div / Share
$2.09
5yr CAGR
+0.99%
Doubles every ~70.5yr
Payout Ratio
24.8%
Safe
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+0.98%
5yr CAGR
+0.99%
10yr CAGR
+4.26%
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
Income Projection
Today
$1/mo
In 5 yrs
$1/mo
In 10 yrs
$1/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$11/yr $1/mo | $12/yr+5% $1/mo | $12/yr+10% $1/mo |
Yield-on-cost grows from 1.11% → 1.23% over 10yr
Analysis
Dividend Aristocrat
DOV has raised its dividend for 43 consecutive years — qualifying as a Dividend Aristocrat, demonstrating long-term commitment to shareholder income.
Well-covered by free cash flow
The dividend is covered 3.9× by free cash flow, indicating the company generates sufficient cash to sustain and potentially grow the payout without straining its finances.
No strong risk signal stands out from the latest period pair.
22.38
Volume
1.16M
Shares outstanding
134.68M