NYSE · EFX
Industrials · Consulting Services
$168.04â–¼ 0.03% ($0.05)at close
Pre-market$168.60▲ 0.33%·8:10 AM ET
Market cap
To support a price of $168.04, this model requires Stage 1 FCFF to grow by 18.83%/yr over the next 5 years, compounded annually.
Historical FCFF grew by 5.82%/yr over the past 10 years. The required annual growth rate is 13.01 percentage points higher.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
5.82%/yr · Stage 1 default · years 1–5
Annual overrides take precedence over the Stage 1 default.
Market-implied · Other assumptions held fixed
18.83%/yr · Stage 1 · years 1–5
Stage 1 growth is solved while Stage 2 growth, terminal growth, discount inputs, and annual overrides remain fixed. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$168.04
Estimated value / share
$81.12
Base scenario
This estimate is 51.72% below the price used.
FCFF base normalized by replacing latest capex with the company's trailing median capex-to-revenue ratio.
Historical FCFF CAGR and the default growth rates are taken from the raw historical series. The valuation base is normalized for the current-period DCF.
Stage 1 5.82% · Stage 2 3.5% · Discount rate 10.21%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future free cash flow, discounted to its value today.
FCFF is positive, but the year-to-year swings are too large for a direct CAGR. Normalize the cash-flow base first, then run DCF.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 6 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 509.3%.
EFX
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock fell 31.57% over the last year. Revenue grew 10.35% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 18.52% to 17.85%. Free cash flow grew 20.5% over the trailing twelve months.
Visible fundamentals weakened far less than the stock price, and the shares now sit around the 3rd percentile of their historical P/FCF range. That looks more like a rerating of the multiple than a collapse in the business.
This read changes if operating margin (currently 17.85%) continues to decline, or if revenue growth turns negative. The bull case requires the business to hold its current trajectory.
Performance
Company profile
Equifax Inc. operates as a global data and analytics company, delivering a range of information solutions and specialized human resources administrative process outsourcing services.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 2 shares became 3
Every 1 shares became 2
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
24
Buy
11
Hold
1
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Oct 20, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $2.21 · Revenue est $1.7B
View
Dividends
$2.18/shareQuarterlyDividend Achiever · 24yrSafeEFX pays a dividend with a 1.3% dividend yield, 24 consecutive years of growth, growing at 6.92% annually, covered 4.9× by free cash flow.
Dividend Yield
1.3%
Annual Div / Share
$2.18
5yr CAGR
+6.92%
Doubles every ~10.4yr
Payout Ratio
37%
Safe
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+11.8%
5yr CAGR
+6.92%
10yr CAGR
+5.47%
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
Income Projection
Today
$1/mo
In 5 yrs
$2/mo
In 10 yrs
$2/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$13/yr $1/mo | $18/yr+40% $2/mo | $25/yr+95% $2/mo |
Yield-on-cost grows from 1.3% → 2.53% over 10yr
Analysis
Dividend Achiever
EFX has raised its dividend for 24 consecutive years — qualifying as a Dividend Achiever, demonstrating long-term commitment to shareholder income.
Well-covered by free cash flow
The dividend is covered 4.9Ă— by free cash flow, indicating the company generates sufficient cash to sustain and potentially grow the payout without straining its finances.
Strong dividend growth rate
The 5-year CAGR of 6.92% meaningfully outpaces inflation, compounding real income growth for long-term holders.
No strong risk signal stands out from the latest period pair.
$19.74B
P/E
28.97
Volume
1.18M
Shares outstanding
117.48M