NYSE · EME
EMCOR Group, Inc.
Industrials · Engineering & Construction
$751.96▲ 0.02% ($0.16)at close
After hours$750.00▼ 0.26%7:45 PM ET
Valuation
Revenue & margin DCF
Verdict: fairly priced. Price above Base.
The price needs 18.2% revenue growth a year for 10 years. Our scenarios assume 7.6–13.3%.
That's 1.3× its past 4-year pace.
Value per share
Base case
$473.72
Price used $751.96 is 1.6× this
USD · TTM ending Jun 30, 2026 · Price Sep 24, 8:00 PM UTC
Revenue each value needs
Revenue today $18.6B. The price needs $99.1B by 2036. Base case: $51B. At its recent pace: $71.7B. Bear to Bull: $38.9B to $64.6B.
Revenue today $18.6B. The price needs $99.1B by 2036. Base case: $51B. At its recent pace: $71.7B. Bear to Bull: $38.9B to $64.6B.
Revenue in 2036
today $18.6B
+$48.1Bmore than the Base case · 1.9×
Value per share · Base case
$473.72
Price $751.96
1.6× this
- 10-yr revenue CAGR
- 10.6%
- Ending operating margin
- 6.0%
- Discount rate
- 11.4%
USD · TTM ending Jun 30, 2026 · Price Sep 24, 8:00 PM UTC
What each scenario assumes. Click a column to start from it.
Price vs Fundamentals
Why The Stock Is Moving
What changed
The stock rose 20.01% over the last year. Revenue grew 18.94% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 9.5% to 10.15%. Free cash flow declined 3.07% over the trailing twelve months.
What the market seems to be pricing
The stock is trading toward the richer end of its historical P/FCF range (95th percentile) while business metrics are improving. More of the upside is already embedded in the multiple now.
What would invalidate this read
Operating margin is at 10.15% — continued expansion would be needed to justify the premium. Revenue growth of 18.94% is encouraging, but any deceleration puts the stretched multiple at risk. This read changes if revenue, margins, and cash flow continue to improve faster than expected — in that case the richer multiple could still prove conservative.
Return analysis
Company profile
EMCOR Group, Inc. specializes in delivering comprehensive electrical and mechanical construction services, alongside integrated facilities management solutions, primarily serving clients across the United States and the United Kingdom.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
9
Buy
5
Hold
0
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Oct 29, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $8.33 · Revenue est $5.19B
View
Institutional Sentiment
EMCOR Group, Inc. · EME
From Form 13F filings (managers with $100M+). Filings land up to 45 days after quarter end — read this as positioning context, not live fund flow.