NYSE · EPC
Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products
$26.88▼ 0.78% ($0.21)at close
As of 4:00 PM ET
Market cap
$1.24B
To support a price of $26.88, this model requires Stage 1 FCFF to grow by -15.59%/yr over the next 5 years, compounded annually.
Historical FCFF grew by -9.38%/yr over the past 10 years. The required annual growth rate is 6.21 percentage points lower.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
-9.38%/yr · Stage 1 default · years 1–5
Annual overrides take precedence over the Stage 1 default.
Market-implied · Other assumptions held fixed
-15.59%/yr · Stage 1 · years 1–5
Stage 1 growth is solved while Stage 2 growth, terminal growth, discount inputs, and annual overrides remain fixed. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$26.88
Estimated value / share
$44.58
Base scenario
This estimate is 65.87% above the price used.
Effective tax rate could not be derived — using 21% US default.
FCFF base normalized by replacing latest capex with the company's trailing median capex-to-revenue ratio.
Historical FCFF CAGR and the default growth rates are taken from the raw historical series. The valuation base is normalized for the current-period DCF.
Market beta (0.40) is below the minimum default of 0.5 — short lookback windows can understate systematic risk. Beta floored at 0.5 for default assumptions; adjust manually if needed.
Stage 1 -9.38% · Stage 2 3.5% · Discount rate 5.77%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future free cash flow, discounted to its value today.
FCFF is positive, but the year-to-year swings are too large for a direct CAGR. Normalize the cash-flow base first, then run DCF.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 29 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 128.8%.
EPC
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock rose 24.04% over the last year. Revenue declined 7% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 6.96% to 1.66%. Free cash flow grew 22.72% over the trailing twelve months.
The stock is rising despite deteriorating fundamentals and now sits at the 85th percentile of its historical P/FCF range. This is a momentum-driven move — the market may be front-running a recovery that has not yet appeared in reported numbers.
Operating margin (currently 1.66%) would need to stabilize or improve to justify the move. Revenue is declining 7% — a trend reversal in the next report would be the key signal to watch. This read is wrong if the next period shows operating metrics turning the corner. At that point the price would be anticipating real improvement rather than running ahead of it.
Performance
Company profile
Edgewell Personal Care Company, along with its associated businesses, is a global producer and distributor of a diverse range of personal care items.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 1000 shares became 1349
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
6
Buy
11
Hold
0
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Nov 12, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $0.78 · Revenue est $479.48M
View
Dividends
$0.60/shareQuarterly5yr growth streakAdequateEPC pays a dividend with a 2.23% dividend yield, 5 consecutive years of growth, covered 1.4× by free cash flow.
Dividend Yield
2.23%
Annual Div / Share
$0.60
5yr CAGR
+0%
Payout Ratio
115.35%
Adequate
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+0%
5yr CAGR
+0%
10yr CAGR
-7.18%
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
Income Projection
Today
$2/mo
In 5 yrs
$2/mo
In 10 yrs
$2/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$22/yr $2/mo | $22/yr $2/mo | $22/yr $2/mo |
Analysis
No strong strength signal stands out from the latest period pair.
High payout ratio
With 115.35% of earnings paid as dividends, there is limited retained earnings for reinvestment — and a dividend cut becomes more likely if earnings decline.
P/E
50.37
Volume
713.03K
Shares outstanding
46.08M