NASDAQ: ERIE
Erie Indemnity Company
Financial Services · Insurance - Brokers
Market Cap
$10.19B
52w High
$380.67
52w Low
$210.07
P/E
17.99
Volume
90.57K
Outstanding Shares
46.19M
Price vs Fundamentals
Why The Stock Is Moving
What changed
The stock fell 37.55% over the last year. Revenue grew 4.78% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 17.65% to 17.94%. Free cash flow grew 5.27% over the trailing twelve months.
What the market seems to be pricing
Visible fundamentals weakened far less than the stock price, and the shares now sit around the 0th percentile of their historical P/FCF range. That looks more like a rerating of the multiple than a collapse in the business.
What would invalidate this read
This read changes if operating margin (currently 17.94%) continues to decline, or if revenue growth turns negative. The bull case requires the business to hold its current trajectory.
Company profile
Erie Indemnity Company operates as a managing attorney-in-fact for the subscribers at the Erie Insurance Exchange in the United States.
Valuation
Stock splits
Every 1 shares became 3
Profitability & growth
Standard profitability metrics can be misleading for financial/insurance companies. GAAP requires unrealized investment gains/losses in net income (affecting ROE), and margins are blended across diverse business segments.
Analyst consensus
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Aug 6, 2026
Q3 FY26 · EPS est $3.35 · Revenue est $1.09B
View
Dividends
$5.75/shareQuarterly4yr growth streakSafeERIE pays a dividend with a 2.61% declared yield, 4 consecutive years of growth, growing at 2.42% annually, covered 2.2× by free cash flow.
Declared Yield
2.61%
Annual Div / Share
$5.75
5yr CAGR
+2.42%
Doubles every ~29.0yr
Payout Ratio
45.3%
Safe
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+7.12%
5yr CAGR
+2.42%
10yr CAGR
+7.02%
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
Income Projection
Today
$2/mo
In 5 yrs
$2/mo
In 10 yrs
$3/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$26/yr $2/mo | $29/yr+13% $2/mo | $33/yr+27% $3/mo |
Yield-on-cost grows from 2.61% → 3.31% over 10yr
Analysis
Dividend Strengths
Well-covered by free cash flow
The dividend is covered 2.2× by free cash flow, indicating the company generates sufficient cash to sustain and potentially grow the payout without straining its finances.
Risks to Watch
No strong risk signal stands out from the latest period pair.