NASDAQ · GPRE
Green Plains Inc.
Basic Materials · Chemicals
$15.06▲ 2.38% ($0.35)at close
As of 4:00 PM ET
Market cap
$1.05B
P/E
Valuation
Revenue & margin DCF
Verdict: fairly priced. Price above Base.
The price needs 12.5% revenue growth a year for 10 years. Our scenarios assume 0.6–4.4%.
Its past 4 years averaged −7.3% a year.
Value per share
Base case
$5.50
Price used $15.06 is 2.7× this
USD · TTM ending Jun 30, 2026 · Price Sep 30, 8:00 PM UTC
Revenue each value needs
Revenue today $1.8B. The price needs $6B by 2036. Base case: $2B. At its recent pace: $866M. Bear to Bull: $2B to $2.8B.
Revenue today $1.8B. The price needs $6B by 2036. Base case: $2B. At its recent pace: $866M. Bear to Bull: $2B to $2.8B.
Revenue in 2036
today $1.8B
+$4Bmore than the Base case · 3.0×
Value per share · Base case
$5.50
Price $15.06
2.7× this
- 10-yr revenue CAGR
- 0.8%
- Ending operating margin
- 6.0%
- Discount rate
- 12.0%
USD · TTM ending Jun 30, 2026 · Price Sep 30, 8:00 PM UTC
What each scenario assumes. Click a column to start from it.
Price vs Fundamentals
Why The Stock Is Moving
Note: The most recent financial data is over 3 months old. Metrics shown may not reflect the latest reporting period.
What changed
The stock rose 71.33% over the last year. Revenue declined 23.29% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from -3.15% to 7.2%. Free cash flow grew 368.89% over the trailing twelve months.
What the market seems to be pricing
The stock has moved higher against modestly improving underlying metrics. The operating data does not yet tell a clear story — the move may reflect sentiment, sector rotation, or macro factors rather than company-specific earnings power.
What would invalidate this read
Operating margin currently stands at 7.2%. A decisive move in revenue — currently down 23.29% — would be the clearest signal to resolve the ambiguity.
Return analysis
Company profile
Green Plains Inc. is primarily engaged in the manufacturing, marketing, and worldwide distribution of ethanol, serving both domestic and international markets.
Market multiples
Stock splits
No stock splits recorded for this ticker.
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
13
Buy
6
Hold
1
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Nov 4, 2026
Q3 FY26 · EPS est $0.53 · Revenue est $512.26M
View
Institutional Sentiment
Green Plains Inc. · GPRE
From Form 13F filings (managers with $100M+). Filings land up to 45 days after quarter end — read this as positioning context, not live fund flow.