Reading the tape
NASDAQ: HUBG
Hub Group, Inc.
Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
Market Cap
$2.49B
52w High
$53.26
52w Low
$30.75
P/E
23.47
Volume
705.22K
Outstanding Shares
60.58M
Price vs Fundamentals
Why The Stock Is Moving
Momentum disconnected from fundamentalsModerate confidence
Note: The most recent financial data is over 3 months old. Metrics shown may not reflect the latest reporting period.
1Y Price: 26.67%Revenue (TTM): -5.79%FCF (TTM): -47.41%P/FCF: 63rd pct
What changed
The stock rose 26.67% over the last year. Revenue declined 5.79% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 3.49% to 3.83%. Free cash flow declined 47.41% over the trailing twelve months.
What the market seems to be pricing
The stock is rising despite deteriorating fundamentals and now sits at the 63rd percentile of its historical P/FCF range. This is a momentum-driven move — the market may be front-running a recovery that has not yet appeared in reported numbers.
What would invalidate this read
Operating margin (currently 3.83%) would need to stabilize or improve to justify the move. Revenue is declining 5.79% — a trend reversal in the next report would be the key signal to watch. This read is wrong if the next period shows operating metrics turning the corner. At that point the price would be anticipating real improvement rather than running ahead of it.
Company profile
Hub Group, Inc., a supply chain solutions provider, offers transportation and logistics management services in North America.
CEOPhillip D. Yeager
SectorIndustrials
IndustryIntegrated Freight & Logistics
Employees6,386
IPO dateMar 13, 1996
Valuation
Forward P/E—
EV/EBITDA9.16
Enterprise value$3.11B
Stock splits
Jan 29, 2024↑ Forward
Every 1 shares became 2
Jun 7, 2006↑ Forward
Every 1 shares became 2
May 12, 2005↑ Forward
Every 1 shares became 2
Profitability & growth
Revenue growth-5.31%
Gross margin48.68%▲612.31%vs FY2023
Operating margin3.83%▼29.61%vs FY2023
ROE6.32%▼38.32%vs FY2023
Analyst consensus
RatingHold
Target price$44.33▲8.02%
14
Buy
16
Hold
1
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
May 6, 2026
Q2 FY26 · EPS est $0.28 · Revenue est $887.86M
View
Dividends
$0.50/shareQuarterlySafeHUBG pays a dividend with a 1.22% dividend yield, covered 4.7× by free cash flow.
Dividend Yield
1.22%
Annual Div / Share
$0.50
CAGR
—
Payout Ratio
28.58%
Safe
Dividend Growth Rate
Dividend Safety
10/10Safe
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
YearAnnual DivYoY
2025$0.50+0.0%
2024$0.50—
Income Projection
Invest
$
Growth rate:
Reinvest dividends
Today
$12/yr
$1/mo
In 5 yrs
$12/yr
$1/mo
In 10 yrs
$12/yr
$1/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$12/yr $1/mo | $12/yr $1/mo | $12/yr $1/mo |
Analysis
Dividend Strengths
Well-covered by free cash flow
The dividend is covered 4.7× by free cash flow, indicating the company generates sufficient cash to sustain and potentially grow the payout without straining its finances.
Risks to Watch
No strong risk signal stands out from the latest period pair.