NASDAQ · KLAC
Technology · Semiconductors
$177.18▼ 3.13% ($5.73)at close
After hours$176.65▼ 0.30%·7:59 PM ET
Market cap
To support a price of $177.18, this model requires revenue to grow by 30.51%/yr over the next 10 years, compounded annually.
Historical revenue grew by 10.19%/yr over the past 4 years. The required annual growth rate is 20.32 percentage points higher.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
7.89%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth
Year 1 growth: 12.37%
Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins
30.51%/yr · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth
Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$177.18
Estimated value / share
$40.29
Base scenario
This estimate is 77.26% below the price used.
Year 1 growth 12.37% · Ending margin 30% · Discount rate 12.67%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.
The current business still looks structurally different from what it should look like in steady state, so a revenue-and-margin transition model is more honest than compounding current FCFF.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 17 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 23.5%.
Do you have 5+ years of positive FCFF history? 17 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is the business model structurally similar to what it should be in 10 years? Revenue is still growing 15.2%, above the 15.0% maturity threshold, so a steady-state FCFF model would lean too heavily on a business still scaling.
KLAC
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock rose 89.98% over the last year. Revenue grew 11.71% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 41.25% to 41.69%. Free cash flow grew 0.62% over the trailing twelve months.
The stock is trading toward the richer end of its historical P/FCF range (98th percentile) while business metrics are improving. More of the upside is already embedded in the multiple now.
Operating margin is at 41.69% — continued expansion would be needed to justify the premium. Revenue growth of 11.71% is encouraging, but any deceleration puts the stretched multiple at risk. This read changes if revenue, margins, and cash flow continue to improve faster than expected — in that case the richer multiple could still prove conservative.
Performance
Company profile
KLA Corporation specializes in creating, manufacturing, and distributing advanced solutions vital for process control, process optimization, and yield enhancement throughout the global semiconductor and broader electronics industries.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 1 shares became 10
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 2 shares became 3
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
28
Buy
14
Hold
2
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Oct 28, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $1.17 · Revenue est $4.04B
View
Dividends
$0.84/shareQuarterlyDividend Achiever · 10yrSafeKLAC pays a dividend with a 0.47% dividend yield, 10 consecutive years of growth, growing at 17.5% annually, covered 3.6× by free cash flow.
Dividend Yield
0.47%
Annual Div / Share
$0.84
5yr CAGR
+17.5%
Doubles every ~4.3yr
Payout Ratio
21.9%
Safe
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+17.33%
5yr CAGR
+17.5%
10yr CAGR
+14.98%
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
Income Projection
Today
$0/mo
In 5 yrs
$1/mo
In 10 yrs
$1/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$5/yr $0/mo | $8/yr+76% $1/mo | $15/yr+211% $1/mo |
Long-range projections use a capped 12% annual growth assumption.
Yield-on-cost grows from 0.47% → 1.47% over 10yr
Analysis
Dividend Achiever
KLAC has raised its dividend for 10 consecutive years — qualifying as a Dividend Achiever, demonstrating long-term commitment to shareholder income.
Well-covered by free cash flow
The dividend is covered 3.6× by free cash flow, indicating the company generates sufficient cash to sustain and potentially grow the payout without straining its finances.
Strong dividend growth rate
The 5-year CAGR of 17.5% meaningfully outpaces inflation, compounding real income growth for long-term holders.
No strong risk signal stands out from the latest period pair.
$231.45B
P/E
48.40
Volume
10.49M
Shares outstanding
1.31B