NYSE · KR
Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores
$56.95▲ 0.90% ($0.51)at close
After hours$57.29▲ 0.60%·7:59 PM ET
Market cap
To support a price of $56.95, this model requires Stage 1 FCFF to grow by 8.85%/yr over the next 5 years, compounded annually.
Historical FCFF grew by 0.52%/yr over the past 10 years. The required annual growth rate is 8.33 percentage points higher.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
0.52%/yr · Stage 1 default · years 1–5
Annual overrides take precedence over the Stage 1 default.
Market-implied · Other assumptions held fixed
8.85%/yr · Stage 1 · years 1–5
Stage 1 growth is solved while Stage 2 growth, terminal growth, discount inputs, and annual overrides remain fixed. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$56.95
Estimated value / share
$31.96
Base scenario
This estimate is 43.87% below the price used.
FCFF base normalized by replacing latest capex with the company's trailing median capex-to-revenue ratio.
Historical FCFF CAGR and the default growth rates are taken from the raw historical series. The valuation base is normalized for the current-period DCF.
Market beta (0.41) is below the minimum default of 0.5 — short lookback windows can understate systematic risk. Beta floored at 0.5 for default assumptions; adjust manually if needed.
Reported total debt includes capitalised leases (~28% of the total). They are excluded from net debt and from the WACC weights because rent is already charged inside operating income. The Net Debt shown here is therefore lower than the balance-sheet figure elsewhere on this page.
Stage 1 0.52% · Stage 2 3.5% · Discount rate 6.4%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future free cash flow, discounted to its value today.
FCFF is positive, but the year-to-year swings are too large for a direct CAGR. Normalize the cash-flow base first, then run DCF.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 16 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 845.6%.
KR
Price vs Fundamentals
Note: The most recent financial data is over 3 months old. Metrics shown may not reflect the latest reporting period.
The stock fell 15.04% over the last year. Revenue grew 1.14% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 2.64% to 1.33%. Free cash flow grew 56.51% over the trailing twelve months.
The stock has moved lower against modestly improving underlying metrics. The operating data does not yet tell a clear story — the move may reflect sentiment, sector rotation, or macro factors rather than company-specific earnings power.
Operating margin currently stands at 1.33%. A decisive move in revenue — currently up 1.14% — would be the clearest signal to resolve the ambiguity.
Performance
Company profile
The Kroger Co. functions as a significant retail entity throughout the United States, encompassing a varied collection of store formats.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
21
Buy
17
Hold
6
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Sep 11, 2026
Q3 FY26 · EPS est $1.06 · Revenue est $34.64B
View
Dividends
$1.44/shareQuarterlyDividend Achiever · 19yrStretchedKR pays a dividend with a 2.53% dividend yield, 19 consecutive years of growth, growing at 13.94% annually, covered 3.8× by free cash flow.
Dividend Yield
2.53%
Annual Div / Share
$1.44
5yr CAGR
+13.94%
Doubles every ~5.3yr
Payout Ratio
84.43%
Stretched
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+10.41%
5yr CAGR
+13.94%
10yr CAGR
+12.72%
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
Income Projection
Today
$2/mo
In 5 yrs
$4/mo
In 10 yrs
$7/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$25/yr $2/mo | $45/yr+76% $4/mo | $79/yr+211% $7/mo |
Long-range projections use a capped 12% annual growth assumption.
Yield-on-cost grows from 2.53% → 7.85% over 10yr
Analysis
Dividend Achiever
KR has raised its dividend for 19 consecutive years — qualifying as a Dividend Achiever, demonstrating long-term commitment to shareholder income.
Well-covered by free cash flow
The dividend is covered 3.8× by free cash flow, indicating the company generates sufficient cash to sustain and potentially grow the payout without straining its finances.
Strong dividend growth rate
The 5-year CAGR of 13.94% meaningfully outpaces inflation, compounding real income growth for long-term holders.
High payout ratio
With 84.43% of earnings paid as dividends, there is limited retained earnings for reinvestment — and a dividend cut becomes more likely if earnings decline.
$34.89B
P/E
33.26
Volume
7.66M
Shares outstanding
612.65M