NYSE · LEN
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
$79.60▲ 2.18% ($1.70)at close
After hours$79.56▼ 0.05%·7:57 PM ET
To support a price of $79.60, this model requires revenue to grow by 33.9%/yr over the next 10 years, compounded annually.
Historical revenue grew by 5.95%/yr over the past 4 years. The required annual growth rate is 27.95 percentage points higher.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
0.96%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth
Year 1 growth: 0.8%
Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins
33.9%/yr · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth
Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$79.60
Estimated value / share
$44.05
Base scenario
This estimate is 44.66% below the price used.
Year 1 growth 0.8% · Ending margin 6% · Discount rate 9.77%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.
There is not a stable run of positive FCFF to anchor a direct cash-flow CAGR, so the model should start from revenue and margin assumptions instead.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? Latest FCFF is not positive.
LEN
Price vs Fundamentals
Note: The most recent financial data is over 3 months old. Metrics shown may not reflect the latest reporting period.
The stock fell 43.18% over the last year. Revenue declined 7.45% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 11.47% to 6.02%. Free cash flow grew 194.9% over the trailing twelve months.
The stock has moved lower against modestly weakening underlying metrics. The operating data does not yet tell a clear story — the move may reflect sentiment, sector rotation, or macro factors rather than company-specific earnings power.
Operating margin currently stands at 6.02%. A decisive move in revenue — currently down 7.45% — would be the clearest signal to resolve the ambiguity.
Performance
Company profile
Lennar Corporation, an influential homebuilder in the United States, operates primarily under its widely recognized Lennar brand, alongside its various subsidiaries.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 1000 shares became 1033
Every 1000 shares became 1017
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 2 shares became 3
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 2 shares became 3
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
23
Buy
18
Hold
9
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Sep 16, 2026
Q3 FY26 · EPS est $1.29 · Revenue est $8.32B
View
Dividends
$2.00/shareQuarterlyDividend Achiever · 17yrAt RiskLEN pays a dividend with a 2.51% dividend yield, 17 consecutive years of growth, growing at 15.62% annually, covered 0.1× by free cash flow.
Dividend Yield
2.51%
Annual Div / Share
$2.00
5yr CAGR
+15.62%
Doubles every ~4.8yr
Payout Ratio
31.03%
At Risk
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+11.26%
5yr CAGR
+15.62%
10yr CAGR
+29.37%
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
Income Projection
Today
$2/mo
In 5 yrs
$4/mo
In 10 yrs
$7/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$25/yr $2/mo | $44/yr+76% $4/mo | $78/yr+211% $7/mo |
Long-range projections use a capped 12% annual growth assumption.
Yield-on-cost grows from 2.51% → 7.8% over 10yr
Analysis
Dividend Achiever
LEN has raised its dividend for 17 consecutive years — qualifying as a Dividend Achiever, demonstrating long-term commitment to shareholder income.
Strong dividend growth rate
The 5-year CAGR of 15.62% meaningfully outpaces inflation, compounding real income growth for long-term holders.
Dividend exceeds free cash flow
Free cash flow covers only 0.05× the dividend. The company is paying out more than it generates in cash, which is unsustainable without borrowing or asset sales.
Market cap
$19.76B
P/E
11.93
Volume
3.62M
Shares outstanding
248.30M