NASDAQ · MAR

Marriott International, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · Travel Lodging

$329.07▼ 0.74% ($2.45)at close

After hours$329.50▲ 0.13%7:30 PM ET

52-week

$256.76$410.98

Market cap

$85.81B

P/E

34.27

Volume

1.51M

Shares outstanding

260.77M

What the market price implies · Reverse DCF

To support a price of $329.07, this model requires Stage 1 FCFF to grow by 12.73%/yr over the next 5 years, compounded annually.

Historical FCFF grew by 15.47%/yr over the past 10 years. The required annual growth rate is 2.74 percentage points lower.

Selected forecast · Base scenario

15.47%/yr · Stage 1 default · years 1–5

Annual overrides take precedence over the Stage 1 default.

Market-implied · Other assumptions held fixed

12.73%/yr · Stage 1 · years 1–5

Stage 1 growth is solved while Stage 2 growth, terminal growth, discount inputs, and annual overrides remain fixed. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.

Valuation

Recommended · Cash-flow DCF

Price used

$329.07

Estimated value / share

$374.67

Base scenario

This estimate is 13.86% above the price used.

USD · TTM ending 2026-06-30

FCFF base normalized by replacing latest capex with the company's trailing median capex-to-revenue ratio.

Historical FCFF CAGR and the default growth rates are taken from the raw historical series. The valuation base is normalized for the current-period DCF.

Reported total debt includes capitalised leases (~5% of the total). They are excluded from net debt and from the WACC weights because rent is already charged inside operating income. The Net Debt shown here is therefore lower than the balance-sheet figure elsewhere on this page.

Stage 1 15.47% · Stage 2 8.51% · Discount rate 10%

Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.

Method, dates & sources

Estimated from future free cash flow, discounted to its value today.

Price timestamp: Sep 10, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
Financial statement period: TTM ending 2026-06-30
Data refreshed: Sep 11, 2026, 12:28 AM UTC · provider

Why this method?

FCFF is positive, but the year-to-year swings are too large for a direct CAGR. Normalize the cash-flow base first, then run DCF.

Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 16 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.

Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 66.7%.

Price vs Fundamentals

Why The Stock Is Moving

Fundamentals are supporting the moveHigh confidence

1Y Price: 25.4%Revenue (TTM): 4.72%FCF (TTM): 86.21%P/FCF: 56th pct

What changed

The stock rose 25.4% over the last year. Revenue grew 4.72% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 15.1% to 15.8%. Free cash flow grew 86.21% over the trailing twelve months.

What the market seems to be pricing

The stock move broadly lines up with stronger business momentum, and the shares are still only around the 56th percentile of their historical P/FCF range.

What would invalidate this read

Operating margin is at 15.8%. Revenue grew 4.72% — this thesis depends on that trajectory holding. If revenue growth, margins, or free cash flow roll over while the stock keeps climbing, more of the move would be coming from multiple expansion than business progress.

Performance

Return analysis

Company profile

Marriott International, Inc. is a leading global hospitality firm responsible for managing, franchising, and licensing a wide range of accommodation options, including hotels, residential units, and timeshare resorts, on an international scale.

CEOAnthony G. Capuano Jr.

SectorConsumer Cyclical

IndustryTravel Lodging

Employees414,000

IPO dateMar 23, 1998

https://www.marriott.com

Market multiples

Forward P/E—

EV/EBITDA22.29

Enterprise value$100.02B

Stock splits

Nov 22, 2011↑ Forward

Every 1000 shares became 1061

+6%

Jun 12, 2006↑ Forward

Every 1 shares became 2

+100%

Profitability & growth

Revenue growth4.85%

Gross margin20.16%▲1.0ppvs FY2024

Operating margin15.8%▲0.8ppvs FY2024

ROEN/A

Analyst consensus

RatingHold

Target price$386.71▲17.52%

Buy

Hold

Sell

Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.

Earnings

Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.

Next report

Nov 3, 2026

Q4 FY26 · EPS est $2.84 · Revenue est $6.92B

View

Dividends

$2.80/shareQuarterly4yr growth streakSafe

MAR pays a dividend with a 0.85% dividend yield, 4 consecutive years of growth, growing at 6.69% annually, covered 3.6× by free cash flow.

Dividend Yield

0.85%

Annual Div / Share

$2.80

5yr CAGR

+6.69%

Doubles every ~10.7yr

Payout Ratio

28.26%

Safe

Dividend Growth Rate

3yr CAGR

+15.02%

5yr CAGR

+6.69%

10yr CAGR

+9.79%

Dividend Safety

10/10Safe

Dividend History

Annualized dividend cycles per share

YearAnnual DivYoY

2026$2.80+7.7%

2025$2.60+13.0%

2024$2.30+25.0%

2023$1.84+17.9%

2022$1.56-12.4%

2019$1.78+20.3%

2018$1.48+17.5%

Income Projection

Invest

Growth rate:

Reinvest dividends

Today

$9/yr

$1/mo

In 5 yrs

$12/yr+38%

$1/mo

In 10 yrs

$16/yr+91%

$1/mo

Today	In 5 yrs	In 10 yrs
$9/yr $1/mo	$12/yr+38% $1/mo	$16/yr+91% $1/mo

Yield-on-cost grows from 0.85% → 1.63% over 10yr

Analysis

Dividend Strengths

Well-covered by free cash flow

The dividend is covered 3.6× by free cash flow, indicating the company generates sufficient cash to sustain and potentially grow the payout without straining its finances.

Strong dividend growth rate

The 5-year CAGR of 6.69% meaningfully outpaces inflation, compounding real income growth for long-term holders.

Risks to Watch

No strong risk signal stands out from the latest period pair.

NASDAQ · MAR

Marriott International, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · Travel Lodging

$329.07▼ 0.74% ($2.45)at close

After hours$329.50▲ 0.13%7:30 PM ET

52-week

$256.76$410.98

Market cap

$85.81B

P/E

34.27

Volume

1.51M

Shares outstanding

260.77M

What the market price implies · Reverse DCF

To support a price of $329.07, this model requires Stage 1 FCFF to grow by 12.73%/yr over the next 5 years, compounded annually.

Historical FCFF grew by 15.47%/yr over the past 10 years. The required annual growth rate is 2.74 percentage points lower.

Selected forecast · Base scenario

15.47%/yr · Stage 1 default · years 1–5

Annual overrides take precedence over the Stage 1 default.

Market-implied · Other assumptions held fixed

12.73%/yr · Stage 1 · years 1–5

Stage 1 growth is solved while Stage 2 growth, terminal growth, discount inputs, and annual overrides remain fixed. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.

Valuation

Recommended · Cash-flow DCF

Price used

$329.07

Estimated value / share

$374.67

Base scenario

This estimate is 13.86% above the price used.

USD · TTM ending 2026-06-30

FCFF base normalized by replacing latest capex with the company's trailing median capex-to-revenue ratio.

Historical FCFF CAGR and the default growth rates are taken from the raw historical series. The valuation base is normalized for the current-period DCF.

Stage 1 15.47% · Stage 2 8.51% · Discount rate 10%

Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.

Method, dates & sources

Estimated from future free cash flow, discounted to its value today.

Price timestamp: Sep 10, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
Financial statement period: TTM ending 2026-06-30
Data refreshed: Sep 11, 2026, 12:28 AM UTC · provider

Why this method?

FCFF is positive, but the year-to-year swings are too large for a direct CAGR. Normalize the cash-flow base first, then run DCF.

Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 16 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.

Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 66.7%.

Price vs Fundamentals

Why The Stock Is Moving

Fundamentals are supporting the moveHigh confidence

1Y Price: 25.4%Revenue (TTM): 4.72%FCF (TTM): 86.21%P/FCF: 56th pct

What changed

The stock rose 25.4% over the last year. Revenue grew 4.72% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 15.1% to 15.8%. Free cash flow grew 86.21% over the trailing twelve months.

What the market seems to be pricing

The stock move broadly lines up with stronger business momentum, and the shares are still only around the 56th percentile of their historical P/FCF range.

What would invalidate this read

Performance

Return analysis

Company profile

CEOAnthony G. Capuano Jr.

SectorConsumer Cyclical

IndustryTravel Lodging

Employees414,000

IPO dateMar 23, 1998

https://www.marriott.com

Market multiples

Forward P/E—

EV/EBITDA22.29

Enterprise value$100.02B

Stock splits

Nov 22, 2011↑ Forward

Every 1000 shares became 1061

+6%

Jun 12, 2006↑ Forward

Every 1 shares became 2

+100%

Profitability & growth

Revenue growth4.85%

Gross margin20.16%▲1.0ppvs FY2024

Operating margin15.8%▲0.8ppvs FY2024

ROEN/A

Analyst consensus

RatingHold

Target price$386.71▲17.52%

Buy

Hold

Sell

Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.

Earnings

Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.

Next report

Nov 3, 2026

Q4 FY26 · EPS est $2.84 · Revenue est $6.92B

View

Dividends

$2.80/shareQuarterly4yr growth streakSafe

MAR pays a dividend with a 0.85% dividend yield, 4 consecutive years of growth, growing at 6.69% annually, covered 3.6× by free cash flow.

Dividend Yield

0.85%

Annual Div / Share

$2.80

5yr CAGR

+6.69%

Doubles every ~10.7yr

Payout Ratio

28.26%

Safe

Dividend Growth Rate

3yr CAGR

+15.02%

5yr CAGR

+6.69%

10yr CAGR

+9.79%

Dividend Safety

10/10Safe

Dividend History

Annualized dividend cycles per share

YearAnnual DivYoY

2026$2.80+7.7%

2025$2.60+13.0%

2024$2.30+25.0%

2023$1.84+17.9%

2022$1.56-12.4%

2019$1.78+20.3%

2018$1.48+17.5%

Income Projection

Invest

Growth rate:

Reinvest dividends

Today

$9/yr

$1/mo

In 5 yrs

$12/yr+38%

$1/mo

In 10 yrs

$16/yr+91%

$1/mo

Today	In 5 yrs	In 10 yrs
$9/yr $1/mo	$12/yr+38% $1/mo	$16/yr+91% $1/mo

Yield-on-cost grows from 0.85% → 1.63% over 10yr

Analysis

Dividend Strengths

Well-covered by free cash flow

The dividend is covered 3.6× by free cash flow, indicating the company generates sufficient cash to sustain and potentially grow the payout without straining its finances.

Strong dividend growth rate

The 5-year CAGR of 6.69% meaningfully outpaces inflation, compounding real income growth for long-term holders.

Risks to Watch

No strong risk signal stands out from the latest period pair.