NASDAQ · MICT
Technology · Computer Hardware
$0.93▲ 2.90% ($0.03)at close
As of 4:00 PM ET
Market cap
$118.01M
P/E
1.36
EPS (TTM)
$0.68
Next earnings
Sep 30, 2023
Per-share valuation inputs need verification
Event dated Sep 30, 2023Market-derived shares outstanding and recent statement shares differ materially. Per-share ratios and valuation outputs may be unreliable until the share base is verified. This sometimes appears with ADRs or provider share-count gaps.
To support a price of $0.93, this model requires revenue to grow by -36.51%/yr over the next 10 years, compounded annually.
Historical revenue grew by 79.2%/yr over the past 4 years. The required annual growth rate is 115.71 percentage points lower.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
19.61%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth
Year 1 growth: 40%
Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins
-36.51%/yr · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth
Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$0.93
Estimated value / share
$22.88
Base scenario
This estimate is 2,370.45% above the price used.
Latest quarterly growth differs materially from the latest annual pace. It remains an observed growth input; review whether acceleration or a change in the business explains it.
This estimate is at least 3× the price used. Review the growth, margin and investment assumptions behind the gap.
Year 1 growth 40% · Ending margin 20.43% · Discount rate 11.65%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.
There is not a stable run of positive FCFF to anchor a direct cash-flow CAGR, so the model should start from revenue and margin assumptions instead.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? Only 1 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
MICT
Price vs Fundamentals
Note: The most recent financial data is over 3 months old. Metrics shown may not reflect the latest reporting period.
The stock rose 40.3% over the last year. Revenue grew 4,835.98% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from -83.04% to 20.43%.
The stock move broadly lines up with stronger business momentum, and the shares are still only around the 2nd percentile of their historical P/S range.
Operating margin is at 20.43%. Revenue grew 4,835.98% — this thesis depends on that trajectory holding. If revenue growth, margins, or free cash flow roll over while the stock keeps climbing, more of the move would be coming from multiple expansion than business progress.
Performance
Company profile
MICT, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the financial technology (FinTech) and insurance industries across China, Singapore, and Hong Kong.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 2 shares became 1
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
1
Buy
0
Hold
0
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Sep 30, 2023
Q4 FY23 · EPS est — · Revenue est —
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