NASDAQ · MPWR
Technology · Semiconductors
$1,169.60▲ 1.92% ($21.99)today
As of 3:37 PM ET
Market cap
$57.46B
To support a price of $1,169.60, this model requires revenue to grow by 39.32%/yr over the next 10 years, compounded annually.
Historical revenue grew by 23.29%/yr over the past 4 years. The required annual growth rate is 16.03 percentage points higher.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
17.98%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth
Year 1 growth: 30.68%
Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins
39.32%/yr · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth
Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$1,169.60
Estimated value / share
$327.62
Base scenario
This estimate is 71.99% below the price used.
Latest quarterly growth differs materially from the latest annual pace. It remains an observed growth input; review whether acceleration or a change in the business explains it.
Year 1 growth 30.68% · Ending margin 28.72% · Discount rate 14.1%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.
FCFF is positive, but the series is too unstable to anchor a direct cash-flow CAGR and the business still fails the steady-state comparability checks. Use a revenue-and-margin transition model instead of normalizing and compounding current FCFF.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 13 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 1275.5%. Latest capex is 2.2x the prior median, which points to a capex supercycle that should be normalized first.
Do you have 5+ years of positive FCFF history? 13 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is the business model structurally similar to what it should be in 10 years? Revenue is still growing 47.6%, above the 15.0% maturity threshold, so a steady-state FCFF model would lean too heavily on a business still scaling.
MPWR
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock rose 33.91% over the last year. Revenue grew 28.67% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 25.98% to 28.72%. Free cash flow declined 16.86% over the trailing twelve months.
The stock is trading toward the richer end of its historical P/FCF range (93rd percentile) while business metrics are improving. More of the upside is already embedded in the multiple now.
Operating margin is at 28.72% — continued expansion would be needed to justify the premium. Revenue growth of 28.67% is encouraging, but any deceleration puts the stretched multiple at risk. This read changes if revenue, margins, and cash flow continue to improve faster than expected — in that case the richer multiple could still prove conservative.
Performance
Company profile
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. specializes in the creation, promotion, and sale of advanced semiconductor components for power management.
Market multiples
Stock splits
No stock splits recorded for this ticker.
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
22
Buy
3
Hold
0
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Oct 29, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $7.69 · Revenue est $1.15B
View
Dividends
$7.56/shareQuarterlyDividend Achiever · 11yrEx-div Sep 30, 2026 · in 13dSafeMPWR pays a dividend with a 0.65% declared yield, 11 consecutive years of growth, growing at 26.87% annually, covered 2.3× by free cash flow.
Declared Yield
0.65%
Annual Div / Share
$7.56
TTM $7.12
5yr CAGR
+26.87%
Doubles every ~2.9yr
Payout Ratio
41.21%
Safe
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+26.33%
5yr CAGR
+26.87%
10yr CAGR
+25.18%
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
Income Projection
Today
$1/mo
In 5 yrs
$1/mo
In 10 yrs
$2/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$6/yr $1/mo | $11/yr+76% $1/mo | $20/yr+211% $2/mo |
Long-range projections use a capped 12% annual growth assumption.
Yield-on-cost grows from 0.65% → 2.01% over 10yr
Analysis
Dividend Achiever
MPWR has raised its dividend for 11 consecutive years — qualifying as a Dividend Achiever, demonstrating long-term commitment to shareholder income.
Well-covered by free cash flow
The dividend is covered 2.3× by free cash flow, indicating the company generates sufficient cash to sustain and potentially grow the payout without straining its finances.
Strong dividend growth rate
The 5-year CAGR of 26.87% meaningfully outpaces inflation, compounding real income growth for long-term holders.
No strong risk signal stands out from the latest period pair.
P/E
72.10
EPS (TTM)
$16.22
Next earnings
Oct 29, 2026