NASDAQ · MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
Technology · Software - Infrastructure
$524.51▲ 0.66% ($3.43)at close
After hours$524.92▲ 0.08%7:59 PM ET
Valuation
Revenue & margin DCF
Verdict: expensive. Price above all scenarios.
The price needs 19.7% revenue growth a year for 10 years. Our scenarios assume 7.2–12.5%.
That's 1.4× its past 4-year pace.
Value per share
Base case
$263.83
Price used $524.51 is 2.0× this
USD · TTM ending Jun 30, 2026 · Price Oct 23, 8:00 PM UTC
Revenue each value needs
Revenue today $332B. The price needs $2.0T by 2036. Base case: $863B. At its recent pace: $1.2T. Bear to Bull: $666B to $1.1T.
Revenue today $332B. The price needs $2.0T by 2036. Base case: $863B. At its recent pace: $1.2T. Bear to Bull: $666B to $1.1T.
Revenue in 2036
today $332B
+$1.1Tmore than the Base case · 2.3×
Value per share · Base case
$263.83
Price $524.51
2.0× this
- 10-yr revenue CAGR
- 10.0%
- Ending operating margin
- 30.0%
- Discount rate
- 9.6%
USD · TTM ending Jun 30, 2026 · Price Oct 23, 8:00 PM UTC
What each scenario assumes. Click a column to start from it.
Price vs Fundamentals
Why The Stock Is Moving
What changed
The stock rose 0.76% over the last year. Revenue grew 17.79% in FY2026 versus FY2025. Operating margin moved from 45.62% to 46.78% (FY2026 versus FY2025). Free cash flow declined 6.46% in FY2026 versus FY2025.
What the market seems to be pricing
The stock has moved higher against modestly improving underlying metrics. The operating data does not yet tell a clear story — the move may reflect sentiment, sector rotation, or macro factors rather than company-specific earnings power.
What would invalidate this read
Operating margin currently stands at 46.78%. A decisive move in revenue — currently up 17.79% — would be the clearest signal to resolve the ambiguity.
Return analysis
Company profile
Microsoft Corporation is a prominent global technology firm that invents, markets, and provides ongoing assistance for a diverse range of software, digital services, computing devices, and comprehensive solutions.
Market multiples
Stock splits
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Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
68
Buy
15
Hold
0
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Actuals vs estimates by quarter, or any quarter against the same one a year earlier.
Next report
Oct 28, 2026
Q1 FY27 · EPS est $4.71 · Revenue est $90.6B
Same quarter, year over year
FY26 Full year +26.7%Each cell vs the same quarter a year earlier (the cell below) · Q1–Q4 combined $17.28 vs $13.64 · all 4 quarters up
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
FY total
FY27
—
—
—
—
FY26
FY25
FY24
Fiscal year totals
- FY26
- $17.28
- +26.7%
- FY25
- $13.64
- +15.5%
- FY24
- $11.81
- —
Q4 FY26
Reported Jul 29, 2026 · Latest
HoverTap a cell to inspect
Actual
$4.74
Estimate
$4.24
Year over year
+29.9%
Vs prior quarter
+11.0%
Institutional Sentiment
Microsoft Corporation · MSFT
From Form 13F filings (managers with $100M+). Filings land up to 45 days after quarter end — read this as positioning context, not live fund flow.