Reading the tape
NYSE: MTDR
Matador Resources Company
Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Market Cap
$7.87B
52w High
$66.84
52w Low
$37.14
P/E
10.37
Volume
421.93K
Outstanding Shares
124.25M
Price vs Fundamentals
Why The Stock Is Moving
Momentum disconnected from fundamentalsModerate confidence
Note: The most recent financial data is over 3 months old. Metrics shown may not reflect the latest reporting period.
1Y Price: 57.81%Revenue (TTM): 6.21%FCF (TTM): -13.71%P/FCF: 84th pct
What changed
The stock rose 57.81% over the last year. Revenue grew 6.21% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 41.24% to 33.2%. Free cash flow declined 13.71% over the trailing twelve months.
What the market seems to be pricing
The stock is rising despite deteriorating fundamentals and now sits at the 84th percentile of its historical P/FCF range. This is a momentum-driven move — the market may be front-running a recovery that has not yet appeared in reported numbers.
What would invalidate this read
Operating margin (currently 33.2%) would need to stabilize or improve to justify the move. This read is wrong if the next period shows operating metrics turning the corner. At that point the price would be anticipating real improvement rather than running ahead of it.
Company profile
Matador Resources Company, an independent energy company, engages in the exploration, development, production, and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States.
CEOJoseph Wm. Foran
SectorEnergy
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Employees452
IPO dateFeb 2, 2012
Valuation
Forward P/E—
EV/EBITDA3.58
Enterprise value$8.75B
Stock splits
No stock splits recorded for this ticker.
Profitability & growth
Revenue growth-13.32%
Gross margin88.78%▼1.32%vs FY2024
Operating margin33.2%▼21.30%vs FY2024
ROE13.42%▼22.87%vs FY2024
Analyst consensus
RatingBuy
Target price$68.29▲7.80%
30
Buy
12
Hold
0
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
May 6, 2026
Q2 FY26 · EPS est $1.30 · Revenue est $877.17M
View
Dividends
$1.44/shareQuarterly4yr growth streakEx-div May 8, 2026 · in 3dAdequateMTDR pays a dividend with a 2.28% declared yield, 4 consecutive years of growth, growing at 42.36% annually, covered 1.5× by free cash flow.
Declared Yield
2.28%
Annual Div / Share
$1.44
TTM $1.38
3yr CAGR
+42.36%
Doubles every ~2.0yr
Payout Ratio
21.48%
Adequate
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+42.36%
Dividend Safety
8/10Adequate
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
YearAnnual DivYoY
2026$1.44+34.2%
2025$1.07+43.3%
2024$0.75+50.0%
2023$0.50+185.7%
2022$0.17—
Income Projection
Invest
$
Growth rate:
Reinvest dividends
Today
$23/yr
$2/mo
In 5 yrs
$40/yr+76%
$3/mo
In 10 yrs
$71/yr+211%
$6/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$23/yr $2/mo | $40/yr+76% $3/mo | $71/yr+211% $6/mo |
Long-range projections use a capped 12% annual growth assumption.
Yield-on-cost grows from 2.28% → 7.07% over 10yr