NYSE · NL
NLI Holdings, Inc.
Industrials · Security & Protection Services
$6.98▼ 1.27% ($0.09)at close
As of 4:00 PM ET
Market cap
$341.06M
P/E
Valuation
Revenue & margin DCF
Verdict: fairly priced. Price above Base.
The price needs 5.3% revenue growth a year for 10 years. Our scenarios assume 1.2–4.4%.
That's 1.8× its past 4-year pace.
Value per share
Base case
$5.85
Price used $6.98 is 19% above this
USD · TTM ending Jun 30, 2026 · Price Oct 2, 8:00 PM UTC
Revenue each value needs
Revenue today $162M. The price needs $270M by 2036. Base case: $191M. At its recent pace: $217M. Bear to Bull: $182M to $249M.
Revenue today $162M. The price needs $270M by 2036. Base case: $191M. At its recent pace: $217M. Bear to Bull: $182M to $249M.
Revenue in 2036
today $162M
+$79.2Mmore than the Base case · 1.4×
Value per share · Base case
$5.85
Price $6.98
19% above this
- 10-yr revenue CAGR
- 1.7%
- Ending operating margin
- 8.9%
- Discount rate
- 8.0%
USD · TTM ending Jun 30, 2026 · Price Oct 2, 8:00 PM UTC
What each scenario assumes. Click a column to start from it.
Price vs Fundamentals
Why The Stock Is Moving
Note: The most recent financial data is over 3 months old. Metrics shown may not reflect the latest reporting period.
What changed
The stock rose 13.5% over the last year. Revenue grew 5.96% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 27.29% to 8.91%. Free cash flow grew 110.46% over the trailing twelve months.
What the market seems to be pricing
The stock is trading toward the richer end of its historical P/FCF range (100th percentile) while business metrics are improving. More of the upside is already embedded in the multiple now.
What would invalidate this read
Operating margin is at 8.91% — continued expansion would be needed to justify the premium. Revenue growth of 5.96% is encouraging, but any deceleration puts the stretched multiple at risk. This read changes if revenue, margins, and cash flow continue to improve faster than expected — in that case the richer multiple could still prove conservative.
Return analysis
Company profile
NL Industries, Inc., through its subsidiary CompX International Inc., is a global and domestic manufacturer specializing in diverse component products.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 5 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 5
Every 1 shares became 2
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
0
Buy
0
Hold
1
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Oct 29, 2026
Q3 FY26 · EPS est $0.21 · Revenue est $43.99M
View
Institutional Sentiment
NLI Holdings, Inc. · NL
From Form 13F filings (managers with $100M+). Filings land up to 45 days after quarter end — read this as positioning context, not live fund flow.