NYSE · NOK
Technology · Communication Equipment
$10.11▲ 2.75% ($0.27)today
As of 12:32 PM ET
Market cap
$54.61B
P/E
To support a price of $10.11, this model requires revenue to grow by 16.63%/yr over the next 10 years, compounded annually.
Historical revenue grew by -2.71%/yr over the past 4 years. The required annual growth rate is 19.34 percentage points higher.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
0.8%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth
Year 1 growth: 0%
Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins
16.63%/yr · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth
Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$10.11
Estimated value / share
$3.25
Base scenario
This estimate is 67.84% below the price used.
Year 1 growth 0% · Ending margin 3.4% · Discount rate 9.1%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.
There is not a stable run of positive FCFF to anchor a direct cash-flow CAGR, so the model should start from revenue and margin assumptions instead.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? Only 2 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
NOK
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock rose 119.41% over the last year. Revenue grew 5.29% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 4.08% to 3.4%. Free cash flow declined 65.14% over the trailing twelve months.
The stock is rising despite deteriorating fundamentals and now sits at the 96th percentile of its historical P/FCF range. This is a momentum-driven move — the market may be front-running a recovery that has not yet appeared in reported numbers.
Operating margin (currently 3.4%) would need to stabilize or improve to justify the move. This read is wrong if the next period shows operating metrics turning the corner. At that point the price would be anticipating real improvement rather than running ahead of it.
Performance
Company profile
Nokia Oyj stands as a global technology leader, delivering comprehensive network infrastructure and solutions across mobile, fixed, and cloud domains.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 1 shares became 4
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
31
Buy
16
Hold
5
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Oct 22, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $0.08 · Revenue est $5.75B
View
Dividends
$0.05/shareAnnual3yr growth streakStretchedNOK pays a dividend with a 0.46% dividend yield, 3 consecutive years of growth, growing at 5.74% annually, covered 1.9× by free cash flow.
Dividend Yield
0.46%
Annual Div / Share
$0.05
TTM $0.14
5yr CAGR
+5.74%
Doubles every ~12.4yr
Payout Ratio
81.65%
Stretched
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+37.21%
5yr CAGR
+5.74%
10yr CAGR
+0.06%
Dividend History
Annual dividends paid per share
Income Projection
Today
$0/mo
In 5 yrs
$1/mo
In 10 yrs
$1/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$5/yr $0/mo | $6/yr+32% $1/mo | $8/yr+75% $1/mo |
Yield-on-cost grows from 0.46% → 0.8% over 10yr
Analysis
Well-covered by free cash flow
The dividend is covered 1.9× by free cash flow, indicating the company generates sufficient cash to sustain and potentially grow the payout without straining its finances.
Strong dividend growth rate
The 5-year CAGR of 5.74% meaningfully outpaces inflation, compounding real income growth for long-term holders.
High payout ratio
With 81.65% of earnings paid as dividends, there is limited retained earnings for reinvestment — and a dividend cut becomes more likely if earnings decline.
71.80
Volume
63.82M
Shares outstanding
5.40B