NASDAQ · NVEC
Technology · Semiconductors
$97.62▼ 1.45% ($1.44)at close
As of 4:00 PM ET
Market cap
$472.20M
P/E
26.25
Volume
74.28K
Shares outstanding
4.84M
To support a price of $97.62, this model requires revenue to grow by 30.52%/yr over the next 10 years, compounded annually.
Historical revenue grew by -0.61%/yr over the past 4 years. The required annual growth rate is 31.13 percentage points higher.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
14.21%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth
Year 1 growth: 22.32%
Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins
30.52%/yr · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth
Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$97.62
Estimated value / share
$37.43
Base scenario
This estimate is 61.66% below the price used.
Latest quarterly growth differs materially from the latest annual pace. It remains an observed growth input; review whether acceleration or a change in the business explains it.
Year 1 growth 22.32% · Ending margin 30% · Discount rate 12.2%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.
FCFF is positive, but the series is too unstable to anchor a direct cash-flow CAGR and the business still fails the steady-state comparability checks. Use a revenue-and-margin transition model instead of normalizing and compounding current FCFF.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 21 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 52.3%. Latest capex is 3.1x the prior median, which points to a capex supercycle that should be normalized first.
Do you have 5+ years of positive FCFF history? 21 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is the business model structurally similar to what it should be in 10 years? Revenue is still growing 80.7%, above the 15.0% maturity threshold, so a steady-state FCFF model would lean too heavily on a business still scaling.
NVEC
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock rose 48.81% over the last year. Revenue grew 24.07% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 61.08% to 62.07%. Free cash flow grew 27.24% over the trailing twelve months.
The stock is trading toward the richer end of its historical P/FCF range (85th percentile) while business metrics are improving. More of the upside is already embedded in the multiple now.
Operating margin is at 62.07% — continued expansion would be needed to justify the premium. Revenue growth of 24.07% is encouraging, but any deceleration puts the stretched multiple at risk. This read changes if revenue, margins, and cash flow continue to improve faster than expected — in that case the richer multiple could still prove conservative.
Performance
Company profile
NVE Corporation develops and sells devices that use spintronics, a nanotechnology relying on electron spin to acquire, store, and transmit information, both in the United States and internationally.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 5 shares became 1
Every 5 shares became 1
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Oct 21, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est — · Revenue est —
View
Dividends
$4.00/shareQuarterlyDividend Achiever · 10yrStretchedNVEC pays a dividend with a 4.1% dividend yield, 10 consecutive years of growth, covered 0.7× by free cash flow.
Dividend Yield
4.1%
Annual Div / Share
$4.00
5yr CAGR
+0%
Payout Ratio
107.39%
Stretched
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+0%
5yr CAGR
+0%
10yr CAGR
+0%
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
Income Projection
Today
$3/mo
In 5 yrs
$3/mo
In 10 yrs
$3/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$41/yr $3/mo | $41/yr $3/mo | $41/yr $3/mo |
Analysis
Dividend Achiever
NVEC has raised its dividend for 10 consecutive years — qualifying as a Dividend Achiever, demonstrating long-term commitment to shareholder income.
High payout ratio
With 107.39% of earnings paid as dividends, there is limited retained earnings for reinvestment — and a dividend cut becomes more likely if earnings decline.
Dividend exceeds free cash flow
Free cash flow covers only 0.75× the dividend. The company is paying out more than it generates in cash, which is unsustainable without borrowing or asset sales.