NYSE · OKE
Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream
$95.72▼ 0.10% ($0.10)at close
After hours$96.25▲ 0.55%·7:48 PM ET
Market cap
Historical revenue grew by 14.98%/yr over the past 4 years.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
5.26%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth
Year 1 growth: 8.23%
Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins
Unavailable · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth
Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
No supported revenue growth rate matches this price with these operating assumptions.
Price used
$95.72
Estimated value / share
Unavailable
Base scenario
Enterprise value of $23.06B does not cover net debt, preferred stock and minority interest of $33.01B, so equity value is negative and no fair value per share can be shown. The projected cash flows are positive; the shortfall is in the equity bridge, not the forecast. This engine cannot separate captive-finance or other non-operating borrowings from operating debt.
Year 1 growth 8.23% · Ending margin 6.83% · Discount rate 7.21%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.
FCFF is positive, but the series is too unstable to anchor a direct cash-flow CAGR and the business still fails the steady-state comparability checks. Use a revenue-and-margin transition model instead of normalizing and compounding current FCFF.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 5 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 50.2%. Latest capex is 2.3x the prior median, which points to a capex supercycle that should be normalized first.
Do you have 5+ years of positive FCFF history? 5 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is the business model structurally similar to what it should be in 10 years? Revenue is still growing 52.8%, above the 15.0% maturity threshold, so a steady-state FCFF model would lean too heavily on a business still scaling.
OKE
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock rose 30.5% over the last year. Revenue grew 40.83% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 19.39% to 18.48%. Free cash flow grew 0.8% over the trailing twelve months.
The stock is trading toward the richer end of its historical P/FCF range (71st percentile) while business metrics are improving. More of the upside is already embedded in the multiple now.
Operating margin is at 18.48% — continued expansion would be needed to justify the premium. Revenue growth of 40.83% is encouraging, but any deceleration puts the stretched multiple at risk. This read changes if revenue, margins, and cash flow continue to improve faster than expected — in that case the richer multiple could still prove conservative.
Performance
Company profile
ONEOK, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, functions as a leading energy infrastructure company within the United States.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 5000 shares became 5711
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 2 shares became 3
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
17
Buy
22
Hold
0
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Oct 27, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $1.51 · Revenue est $10.52B
View
Dividends
$4.24/shareQuarterlyDividend Aristocrat · 36yrStretchedOKE pays a dividend with a 4.43% dividend yield, 36 consecutive years of growth, growing at 2.54% annually, covered 0.9× by free cash flow.
Dividend Yield
4.43%
Annual Div / Share
$4.24
5yr CAGR
+2.54%
Doubles every ~27.6yr
Payout Ratio
72.28%
Stretched
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+3.72%
5yr CAGR
+2.54%
10yr CAGR
+5.59%
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
Income Projection
Today
$4/mo
In 5 yrs
$4/mo
In 10 yrs
$5/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$44/yr $4/mo | $50/yr+13% $4/mo | $57/yr+29% $5/mo |
Yield-on-cost grows from 4.43% → 5.69% over 10yr
Analysis
Dividend Aristocrat
OKE has raised its dividend for 36 consecutive years — qualifying as a Dividend Aristocrat, demonstrating long-term commitment to shareholder income.
Dividend exceeds free cash flow
Free cash flow covers only 0.95× the dividend. The company is paying out more than it generates in cash, which is unsustainable without borrowing or asset sales.
$60.32B
P/E
16.54
Volume
2.28M
Shares outstanding
630.15M
Recent acquisition on record
Event dated Dec 9, 2024ONEOK INC /NEW/ has a recent acquisition record for EnLink Midstream, LLC. Reported results and multi-period comparisons may mix pre- and post-transaction periods, so review the reference filing before leaning on valuation outputs.
Open reference filing