NYSE · OXY
Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
$59.33▼ 0.06% ($0.03)today
As of 1:39 PM ET
Market cap
$59.01B
P/E
8.28
EPS (TTM)
$7.17
Next earnings
Nov 9, 2026
To support a price of $59.33, this model requires revenue to grow by 4.13%/yr over the next 10 years, compounded annually.
Historical revenue grew by -4.5%/yr over the past 4 years. The required annual growth rate is 8.63 percentage points higher.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
1.49%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth
Year 1 growth: 2.33%
Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins
4.13%/yr · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth
Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$59.33
Estimated value / share
$44.92
Base scenario
This estimate is 24.28% below the price used.
Latest quarterly growth differs materially from the latest annual pace. It remains an observed growth input; review whether acceleration or a change in the business explains it.
Year 1 growth 2.33% · Ending margin 23.01% · Discount rate 6.94%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.
There is not a stable run of positive FCFF to anchor a direct cash-flow CAGR, so the model should start from revenue and margin assumptions instead.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? Only 2 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
OXY
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock rose 25.8% over the last year. Revenue declined 7.14% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 20.04% to 23.01%. Free cash flow grew 5.69% over the trailing twelve months.
The stock has moved higher with no clear directional signal from operating metrics. The operating data does not yet tell a clear story — the move may reflect sentiment, sector rotation, or macro factors rather than company-specific earnings power.
Operating margin currently stands at 23.01%. A decisive move in revenue — currently down 7.14% — would be the clearest signal to resolve the ambiguity.
Performance
Company profile
Occidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States and internationally.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 500 shares became 521
Every 1 shares became 2
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
26
Buy
23
Hold
3
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Nov 9, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $1.21 · Revenue est $6.44B
View
Dividends
$1.04/shareQuarterly5yr growth streakSafeOXY pays a dividend with a 1.75% dividend yield, 5 consecutive years of growth, growing at 91.86% annually, covered 2.6× by free cash flow.
Dividend Yield
1.75%
Annual Div / Share
$1.04
5yr CAGR
+91.86%
Doubles every ~1.1yr
Payout Ratio
22.81%
Safe
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+15.79%
5yr CAGR
+91.86%
10yr CAGR
-10.08%
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
Income Projection
Today
$1/mo
In 5 yrs
$3/mo
In 10 yrs
$5/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$18/yr $1/mo | $31/yr+76% $3/mo | $54/yr+211% $5/mo |
Long-range projections use a capped 12% annual growth assumption.
Yield-on-cost grows from 1.75% → 5.44% over 10yr
Analysis
Well-covered by free cash flow
The dividend is covered 2.6× by free cash flow, indicating the company generates sufficient cash to sustain and potentially grow the payout without straining its finances.
Strong dividend growth rate
The 5-year CAGR of 91.86% meaningfully outpaces inflation, compounding real income growth for long-term holders.
No strong risk signal stands out from the latest period pair.