NASDAQ · PAA
Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream
$25.41▼ 0.04% ($0.01)at close
After hours$25.35▼ 0.24%·7:30 PM ET
Market cap
$17.93B
P/E
6.49
EPS (TTM)
$3.92
Next earnings
Nov 4, 2026
To support a price of $25.41, this model requires revenue to grow by -2.01%/yr over the next 10 years, compounded annually.
Historical revenue grew by 1.27%/yr over the past 4 years. The required annual growth rate is 3.28 percentage points lower.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
11.88%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth
Year 1 growth: 18.64%
Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins
-2.01%/yr · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth
Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$25.41
Estimated value / share
$119.75
Base scenario
This estimate is 371.27% above the price used.
Latest quarterly growth differs materially from the latest annual pace. It remains an observed growth input; review whether acceleration or a change in the business explains it.
This estimate is at least 3× the price used. Review the growth, margin and investment assumptions behind the gap.
Year 1 growth 18.64% · Ending margin 2.87% · Discount rate 6.89%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.
FCFF is positive, but the series is too unstable to anchor a direct cash-flow CAGR and the business still fails the steady-state comparability checks. Use a revenue-and-margin transition model instead of normalizing and compounding current FCFF.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 5 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 47.4%.
Do you have 5+ years of positive FCFF history? 5 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is the business model structurally similar to what it should be in 10 years? Revenue is still growing 66.3%, above the 15.0% maturity threshold, so a steady-state FCFF model would lean too heavily on a business still scaling.
PAA
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock rose 46.58% over the last year. Revenue grew 9.25% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 2.53% to 2.87%. Free cash flow grew 12.13% over the trailing twelve months.
The stock is trading toward the richer end of its historical P/FCF range (62nd percentile) while business metrics are improving. More of the upside is already embedded in the multiple now.
Operating margin is at 2.87% — continued expansion would be needed to justify the premium. Revenue growth of 9.25% is encouraging, but any deceleration puts the stretched multiple at risk. This read changes if revenue, margins, and cash flow continue to improve faster than expected — in that case the richer multiple could still prove conservative.
Performance
Company profile
Plains All American Pipeline, L.P., through its subsidiaries, engages in the pipeline transportation, terminalling, storage, and gathering of crude oil and natural gas liquids (NGL) in the United States and Canada.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 1 shares became 2
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
24
Buy
17
Hold
1
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Nov 4, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $0.43 · Revenue est $14.75B
View
Dividends
$1.63/shareQuarterly5yr growth streakSafePAA pays a dividend with a 6.42% dividend yield, 5 consecutive years of growth, growing at 17.79% annually, covered 1.8× by free cash flow.
Dividend Yield
6.42%
Annual Div / Share
$1.63
5yr CAGR
+17.79%
Doubles every ~4.2yr
Payout Ratio
48.35%
Safe
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+16.93%
5yr CAGR
+17.79%
10yr CAGR
-5.25%
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
Income Projection
Today
$5/mo
In 5 yrs
$9/mo
In 10 yrs
$17/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$64/yr $5/mo | $113/yr+76% $9/mo | $200/yr+211% $17/mo |
Long-range projections use a capped 12% annual growth assumption.
Yield-on-cost grows from 6.42% → 19.95% over 10yr
Analysis
Well-covered by free cash flow
The dividend is covered 1.8× by free cash flow, indicating the company generates sufficient cash to sustain and potentially grow the payout without straining its finances.
Strong dividend growth rate
The 5-year CAGR of 17.79% meaningfully outpaces inflation, compounding real income growth for long-term holders.
No strong risk signal stands out from the latest period pair.