NYSE · PAYC
Technology · Software - Application
$216.04▲ 0.21% ($0.46)at close
After hours$213.28▼ 1.28%·7:50 PM ET
To support a price of $216.04, this model requires Stage 1 FCFF to grow by 6.36%/yr over the next 5 years, compounded annually.
Historical FCFF grew by 19.16%/yr over the past 10 years. The required annual growth rate is 12.80 percentage points lower.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
19.16%/yr · Stage 1 default · years 1–5
Annual overrides take precedence over the Stage 1 default.
Market-implied · Other assumptions held fixed
6.36%/yr · Stage 1 · years 1–5
Stage 1 growth is solved while Stage 2 growth, terminal growth, discount inputs, and annual overrides remain fixed. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$216.04
Estimated value / share
$379.12
Base scenario
This estimate is 75.48% above the price used.
FCFF base normalized by replacing latest capex with the company's trailing median capex-to-revenue ratio.
Historical FCFF CAGR and the default growth rates are taken from the raw historical series. The valuation base is normalized for the current-period DCF.
Reported total debt includes capitalised leases (~8% of the total). They are excluded from net debt and from the WACC weights because rent is already charged inside operating income. The Net Debt shown here is therefore lower than the balance-sheet figure elsewhere on this page.
Stage 1 19.16% · Stage 2 10.54% · Discount rate 8.72%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future free cash flow, discounted to its value today.
FCFF is positive, but the year-to-year swings are too large for a direct CAGR. Normalize the cash-flow base first, then run DCF.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 14 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 148.5%.
PAYC
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock fell 2.19% over the last year. Revenue grew 9.22% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 28.1% to 30.3%. Free cash flow grew 110.05% over the trailing twelve months.
The stock has moved lower against modestly improving underlying metrics. The operating data does not yet tell a clear story — the move may reflect sentiment, sector rotation, or macro factors rather than company-specific earnings power.
Operating margin currently stands at 30.3%. A decisive move in revenue — currently up 9.22% — would be the clearest signal to resolve the ambiguity.
Performance
Company profile
Paycom Software, Inc., established in 1998 and headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, provides a comprehensive, cloud-based human capital management (HCM) platform.
Market multiples
Stock splits
No stock splits recorded for this ticker.
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
17
Buy
18
Hold
1
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Nov 4, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $2.82 · Revenue est $536.06M
View
Dividends
$1.50/shareQuarterlySafePAYC pays a dividend with a 0.69% dividend yield, covered 4.8× by free cash flow.
Dividend Yield
0.69%
Annual Div / Share
$1.50
CAGR
—
Payout Ratio
19.5%
Safe
Dividend Growth Rate
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
Income Projection
Today
$1/mo
In 5 yrs
$1/mo
In 10 yrs
$1/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$7/yr $1/mo | $7/yr $1/mo | $7/yr $1/mo |
Analysis
Well-covered by free cash flow
The dividend is covered 4.8× by free cash flow, indicating the company generates sufficient cash to sustain and potentially grow the payout without straining its finances.
No strong risk signal stands out from the latest period pair.
Market cap
$9.74B
P/E
20.34
Volume
595.02K
Shares outstanding
45.07M