NYSE · PG
Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products
$148.22▲ 1.46% ($2.14)at close
Pre-market$148.06▼ 0.11%·4:00 AM ET
To support a price of $148.22, this model requires Stage 1 FCFF to grow by 4.52%/yr over the next 5 years, compounded annually.
Historical FCFF grew by 2.29%/yr over the past 10 years. The required annual growth rate is 2.23 percentage points higher.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
2.29%/yr · Stage 1 default · years 1–5
Annual overrides take precedence over the Stage 1 default.
Market-implied · Other assumptions held fixed
4.52%/yr · Stage 1 · years 1–5
Stage 1 growth is solved while Stage 2 growth, terminal growth, discount inputs, and annual overrides remain fixed. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$148.22
Estimated value / share
$133.15
Base scenario
This estimate is 10.17% below the price used.
Market beta (0.38) is below the minimum default of 0.5 — short lookback windows can understate systematic risk. Beta floored at 0.5 for default assumptions; adjust manually if needed.
Reported total debt includes capitalised leases (~3% of the total). They are excluded from net debt and from the WACC weights because rent is already charged inside operating income. The Net Debt shown here is therefore lower than the balance-sheet figure elsewhere on this page.
Stage 1 2.29% · Stage 2 3.5% · Discount rate 7.22%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future free cash flow, discounted to its value today.
FCFF is positive, stable, long-lived, and the business looks mature enough that a direct FCFF DCF can use historical cash flow as the anchor.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 30 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 11.7%.
Do you have 5+ years of positive FCFF history? 30 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is the business model structurally similar to what it should be in 10 years? Revenue growth and margin behavior look mature enough for direct FCFF compounding.
PG
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock fell 3.17% over the last year. Revenue grew 3.26% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 24.26% to 22.69%. Free cash flow grew 13.31% over the trailing twelve months.
The stock has moved lower against modestly improving underlying metrics. The operating data does not yet tell a clear story — the move may reflect sentiment, sector rotation, or macro factors rather than company-specific earnings power.
Operating margin currently stands at 22.69%. A decisive move in revenue — currently up 3.26% — would be the clearest signal to resolve the ambiguity.
Performance
Company profile
The Procter & Gamble Company, commonly referred to as P&G, is a global enterprise that supplies a broad spectrum of branded consumer products to markets worldwide.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
28
Buy
24
Hold
1
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Oct 22, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $1.88 · Revenue est $22.72B
View
Dividends
$4.29/shareQuarterlyDividend Aristocrat · 43yrAdequatePG pays a dividend with a 2.89% dividend yield, 43 consecutive years of growth, growing at 5.26% annually, covered 1.6× by free cash flow.
Dividend Yield
2.89%
Annual Div / Share
$4.29
5yr CAGR
+5.26%
Doubles every ~13.5yr
Payout Ratio
63.77%
Adequate
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+4.98%
5yr CAGR
+5.26%
10yr CAGR
+4.88%
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
Income Projection
Today
$2/mo
In 5 yrs
$3/mo
In 10 yrs
$4/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$29/yr $2/mo | $37/yr+29% $3/mo | $48/yr+67% $4/mo |
Yield-on-cost grows from 2.89% → 4.83% over 10yr
Analysis
Dividend Aristocrat
PG has raised its dividend for 43 consecutive years — qualifying as a Dividend Aristocrat, demonstrating long-term commitment to shareholder income.
Well-covered by free cash flow
The dividend is covered 1.6× by free cash flow, indicating the company generates sufficient cash to sustain and potentially grow the payout without straining its finances.
Strong dividend growth rate
The 5-year CAGR of 5.26% meaningfully outpaces inflation, compounding real income growth for long-term holders.
No strong risk signal stands out from the latest period pair.
Market cap
$352.35B
P/E
22.38
EPS (TTM)
$6.62
Next earnings
Oct 22, 2026