NASDAQ · POET
Technology · Semiconductors
$7.60▼ 5.00% ($0.40)at close
After hours$7.58▼ 0.26%·7:59 PM ET
Market cap
To support a price of $7.60, this model requires revenue to grow by 51.32%/yr over the next 10 years, compounded annually.
Historical revenue grew by 50.57%/yr over the past 4 years. The required annual growth rate is 0.74 percentage points higher.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
19.61%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth
Year 1 growth: 40%
Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins
51.32%/yr · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth
Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$7.60
Estimated value / share
$5.12
Base scenario
This estimate is 32.58% below the price used.
Latest quarterly growth differs materially from the latest annual pace. It remains an observed growth input; review whether acceleration or a change in the business explains it.
Reported operating earnings and the comparable cash-flow estimate differ substantially; the model retains the reported-margin anchor.
Year 1 growth 40% · Ending margin 0% · Discount rate 9.54%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.
There is not a stable run of positive FCFF to anchor a direct cash-flow CAGR, so the model should start from revenue and margin assumptions instead.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? Latest FCFF is not positive.
POET
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock rose 35.71% over the last year. Revenue grew 266.06% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from -7,796.15% to -3,340.8%. Free cash flow declined 4.85% over the trailing twelve months.
The stock move broadly lines up with stronger business momentum. The operating data is doing enough work that the move does not need an overvaluation story to explain it.
Operating margin is at -3,340.8%. Revenue grew 266.06% — this thesis depends on that trajectory holding. Despite the price move, free cash flow fell 4.85%, which is worth watching as a leading indicator of future pressure. If revenue growth, margins, or free cash flow roll over while the stock keeps climbing, more of the move would be coming from multiple expansion than business progress.
Performance
Company profile
POET Technologies Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor products and services for commercial applications in the United States, Canada, Singapore, and China.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 10 shares became 1
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
2
Buy
0
Hold
0
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Nov 12, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est -$0.07 · Revenue est $1.6M
View
$1.00B
P/E
-10.65
Volume
6.83M
Shares outstanding
132.01M