NYSE · RDW
Redwire Corp
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
$10.80▼ 3.57% ($0.40)today
As of 3:09 PM ET
Market cap
$2.58B
P/E
-7.40
Valuation
Revenue & margin DCF
Verdict: expensive. Price above all scenarios.
The price needs 43.3% revenue growth a year for 10 years. Our scenarios assume 14.1–24.4%.
That's 1.7× its past 4-year pace.
Value per share
Base case
$3.56
Price used $10.80 is 3.0× this
USD · TTM ending Jun 30, 2026 · Price Sep 29, 7:09 PM UTC
Revenue each value needs
Revenue today $426M. The price needs $15.5B by 2036. Base case: $2.6B. At its recent pace: $4B. Bear to Bull: $1.6B to $3.8B.
Revenue today $426M. The price needs $15.5B by 2036. Base case: $2.6B. At its recent pace: $4B. Bear to Bull: $1.6B to $3.8B.
Revenue in 2036
today $426M
+$13Bmore than the Base case · 6.1×
Value per share · Base case
$3.56
Price $10.80
3.0× this
- 10-yr revenue CAGR
- 19.6%
- Ending operating margin
- 0.0%
- Discount rate
- 18.7%
USD · TTM ending Jun 30, 2026 · Price Sep 29, 7:09 PM UTC
What each scenario assumes. Click a column to start from it.
Price vs Fundamentals
Why The Stock Is Moving
Note: The most recent financial data is over 3 months old. Metrics shown may not reflect the latest reporting period.
What changed
The stock rose 21.05% over the last year. Revenue grew 63.1% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from -52.69% to -50.28%. Free cash flow grew 33.65% over the trailing twelve months.
What the market seems to be pricing
The stock is trading toward the richer end of its historical P/S range (86th percentile) while business metrics are improving. More of the upside is already embedded in the multiple now.
What would invalidate this read
Operating margin is at -50.28% — continued expansion would be needed to justify the premium. Revenue growth of 63.1% is encouraging, but any deceleration puts the stretched multiple at risk. This read changes if revenue, margins, and cash flow continue to improve faster than expected — in that case the richer multiple could still prove conservative.
Return analysis
Company profile
Redwire Corporation provides critical space solutions and space infrastructure for government and commercial customers in the United States, Europe, and internationally.
Market multiples
Stock splits
No stock splits recorded for this ticker.
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
8
Buy
1
Hold
1
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Nov 4, 2026
Q3 FY26 · EPS est -$0.09 · Revenue est $126.56M
View
Institutional Sentiment
Redwire Corp · RDW
From Form 13F filings (managers with $100M+). Filings land up to 45 days after quarter end — read this as positioning context, not live fund flow.