AMEX · REPX
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.
Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
$41.06▲ 2.62% ($1.05)at close
As of 4:00 PM ET
Market cap
$890.84M
P/E
7.35
EPS (TTM)
$5.58
Next earnings
Nov 4, 2026
Valuation
Revenue & margin DCF
Verdict: cheap. Price below all scenarios.
The price holds with revenue shrinking 0.4% a year for 10 years. Our scenarios assume 14.1–24.4%.
That's below its past 4-year pace of 26.9%.
Value per share
Base case
$225.20
Price used $41.06 is 82% below this
USD · TTM ending Jun 30, 2026 · Price Oct 1, 8:00 PM UTC
This estimate is at least 3× the price used. Review the growth, margin and investment assumptions behind the gap.
Revenue each value needs
Revenue today $484M. The price needs $463M by 2036. Base case: $2.9B. At its recent pace: $5.3B. Bear to Bull: $1.8B to $4.3B.
Revenue today $484M. The price needs $463M by 2036. Base case: $2.9B. At its recent pace: $5.3B. Bear to Bull: $1.8B to $4.3B.
Revenue in 2036
today $484M
−$2.4Bless than the Base case
Value per share · Base case
$225.20
Price $41.06
82% below this
- 10-yr revenue CAGR
- 19.6%
- Ending operating margin
- 30.0%
- Discount rate
- 10.0%
This estimate is at least 3× the price used. Review the growth, margin and investment assumptions behind the gap.
USD · TTM ending Jun 30, 2026 · Price Oct 1, 8:00 PM UTC
What each scenario assumes. Click a column to start from it.
Price vs Fundamentals
Why The Stock Is Moving
Note: The most recent financial data is over 3 months old. Metrics shown may not reflect the latest reporting period.
What changed
The stock rose 50.13% over the last year. Revenue grew 23.16% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 32.52% to 38.85%. Free cash flow declined 48.31% over the trailing twelve months.
What the market seems to be pricing
The stock move broadly lines up with stronger business momentum, and the shares are still only around the 48th percentile of their historical P/FCF range.
What would invalidate this read
Operating margin is at 38.85%. Revenue grew 23.16% — this thesis depends on that trajectory holding. Despite the price move, free cash flow fell 48.31%, which is worth watching as a leading indicator of future pressure. If revenue growth, margins, or free cash flow roll over while the stock keeps climbing, more of the move would be coming from multiple expansion than business progress.
Return analysis
Company profile
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) functions as an independent energy company, engaged in the entire process of hydrocarbon extraction—from acquiring properties and exploring for reserves to developing sites and producing oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids across the states of Texas and New Mexico.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 12 shares became 1
Every 10 shares became 1
Every 20 shares became 21
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
3
Buy
0
Hold
0
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Nov 4, 2026
Q3 FY26 · EPS est $1.84 · Revenue est $165.36M
View
Institutional Sentiment
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. · REPX
From Form 13F filings (managers with $100M+). Filings land up to 45 days after quarter end — read this as positioning context, not live fund flow.