NASDAQ · SNCY

Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc.

Industrials · Airlines, Airports & Air Services

$16.170.00% ($0.00)today

As of 9:30 AM ET

52-week

$10.14$22.29

Market cap

$876.36M

P/E

22.57

Volume

0.00

Shares outstanding

54.20M

What the market price implies · Reverse DCF

To support a price of $16.17, this model requires revenue to grow by 19.19%/yr over the next 10 years, compounded annually.

Historical revenue grew by 15.97%/yr over the past 4 years. The required annual growth rate is 3.22 percentage points higher.

Selected forecast · Base scenario

5.17%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth

Year 1 growth: 8.1%

Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins

19.19%/yr · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth

Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.

Valuation

Recommended · Revenue & margin DCF

Price used

$16.17

Estimated value / share

$3.42

Base scenario

This estimate is 78.87% below the price used.

USD · TTM ending 2026-03-31

Year 1 growth 8.1% · Ending margin 7.13% · Discount rate 12.87%

Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.

Method, dates & sources

Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.

Price timestamp: May 15, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC
Financial statement period: TTM ending 2026-03-31
Data refreshed: Sep 17, 2026, 3:24 PM UTC · provider

Why this method?

There is not a stable run of positive FCFF to anchor a direct cash-flow CAGR, so the model should start from revenue and margin assumptions instead.

Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? Only 2 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.

Price vs Fundamentals

Why The Stock Is Moving

Mixed / unclearLow confidence

Note: The most recent financial data is over 3 months old. Metrics shown may not reflect the latest reporting period.

1Y Price: 33.53%Revenue (TTM): 4.36%FCF (TTM): -38.59%P/FCF: 50th pct

What changed

The stock rose 33.53% over the last year. Revenue grew 4.36% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 9.81% to 7.13%. Free cash flow declined 38.59% over the trailing twelve months.

What the market seems to be pricing

The stock has moved higher against modestly weakening underlying metrics. The operating data does not yet tell a clear story — the move may reflect sentiment, sector rotation, or macro factors rather than company-specific earnings power.

What would invalidate this read

Operating margin currently stands at 7.13%. A decisive move in revenue — currently up 4.36% — would be the clearest signal to resolve the ambiguity.

Performance

Return analysis

Company profile

Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. (SNCY) operates as an air transport provider, specializing in a variety of aviation services.

CEOJude I. Bricker

SectorIndustrials

IndustryAirlines, Airports & Air Services

Employees3,124

IPO dateMar 17, 2021

https://www.suncountry.com

Market multiples

Forward P/E—

EV/EBITDA6.02

Enterprise value$1.21B

Stock splits

No stock splits recorded for this ticker.

Profitability & growth

Revenue growth3.59%

Gross margin (FY2025)66.93%▼2.7ppvs FY2024

Operating margin (FY2025)8.93%▼0.9ppvs FY2024

ROE6.4%▼2.4ppvs FY2025

Analyst consensus

RatingBuy

Target price$21.00▲29.87%

Buy

Hold

Sell

Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.

Earnings

Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.

Next report

Jul 30, 2026

Q3 FY26 · EPS est -$0.17 · Revenue est $297.77M

View