NYSE: TGT
Target Corporation
Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
Market Cap
$59.38B
52w High
$137.87
52w Low
$83.44
P/E
17.27
Volume
3.44M
Outstanding Shares
454.19M
Price vs Fundamentals
Why The Stock Is Moving
What changed
The stock rose 37.45% over the last year. Revenue grew 0.47% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 5.42% to 4.49%. Free cash flow declined 11.54% over the trailing twelve months.
What the market seems to be pricing
The stock is rising despite deteriorating fundamentals and now sits at the 84th percentile of its historical P/FCF range. This is a momentum-driven move — the market may be front-running a recovery that has not yet appeared in reported numbers.
What would invalidate this read
Operating margin (currently 4.49%) would need to stabilize or improve to justify the move. This read is wrong if the next period shows operating metrics turning the corner. At that point the price would be anticipating real improvement rather than running ahead of it.
Company profile
Target Corporation operates as a prominent general merchandise retailer throughout the United States.
Valuation
Stock splits
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 3
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
27
Buy
29
Hold
4
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Aug 19, 2026
Q3 FY26 · EPS est $2.21 · Revenue est $26.02B
View
Dividends
$4.58/shareQuarterlyDividend Aristocrat · 42yrAdequateTGT pays a dividend with a 3.5% declared yield, 42 consecutive years of growth, growing at 10.98% annually, covered 1.4× by free cash flow.
Declared Yield
3.5%
Annual Div / Share
$4.58
5yr CAGR
+10.98%
Doubles every ~6.7yr
Payout Ratio
59.68%
Adequate
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+1.97%
5yr CAGR
+10.98%
10yr CAGR
+7.41%
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
Income Projection
Today
$3/mo
In 5 yrs
$5/mo
In 10 yrs
$8/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$35/yr $3/mo | $59/yr+68% $5/mo | $99/yr+184% $8/mo |
Yield-on-cost grows from 3.5% → 9.93% over 10yr
Analysis
Dividend Strengths
Dividend Aristocrat
TGT has raised its dividend for 42 consecutive years — qualifying as a Dividend Aristocrat, demonstrating long-term commitment to shareholder income.
Strong dividend growth rate
The 5-year CAGR of 10.98% meaningfully outpaces inflation, compounding real income growth for long-term holders.
Risks to Watch
No strong risk signal stands out from the latest period pair.