NYSE · TNC
Industrials · Industrial - Machinery
$69.00▼ 3.02% ($2.15)at close
As of 4:00 PM ET
Market cap
$1.18B
P/E
To support a price of $69.00, this model requires revenue to grow by 11.93%/yr over the next 10 years, compounded annually.
Historical revenue grew by 2.49%/yr over the past 4 years. The required annual growth rate is 9.44 percentage points higher.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
1.63%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth
Year 1 growth: 2.55%
Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins
11.93%/yr · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth
Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$69.00
Estimated value / share
$29.36
Base scenario
This estimate is 57.45% below the price used.
Year 1 growth 2.55% · Ending margin 3.2% · Discount rate 9.17%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.
FCFF is positive, but it is still too unstable and too short-lived to anchor even a normalized FCFF DCF. Use revenue and margin assumptions instead of compounding current FCFF.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 3 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 572.8%.
Do you have 5+ years of positive FCFF history? Only 3 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
TNC
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock fell 14.86% over the last year. Revenue declined 2.91% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 7.05% to 3.2%. Free cash flow declined 104.43% over the trailing twelve months.
The market is reacting to weaker business momentum more than just compressing the valuation multiple. Even if the shares already screen cheap on P/FCF, investors are still discounting lower future earnings power.
Operating margin stands at 3.2%. Revenue declined 2.91% — this read reverses if that trend stabilizes. Free cash flow fell 104.43% — a return toward positive territory would undermine the deterioration thesis. If margins and cash flow stabilize while the stock stays depressed, the gap shifts from fundamental damage toward pure multiple compression.
Performance
Company profile
Tennant Company, a global entity operating its design, manufacturing, and marketing efforts across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia Pacific, specializes in sophisticated floor cleaning machinery.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
6
Buy
2
Hold
0
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Nov 2, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $0.98 · Revenue est $330.95M
View
Dividends
$1.24/shareQuarterlyDividend Aristocrat · 38yrAt RiskTNC pays a dividend with a 1.8% dividend yield, 38 consecutive years of growth, growing at 6.15% annually, covered 2.0× by free cash flow.
Dividend Yield
1.8%
Annual Div / Share
$1.24
5yr CAGR
+6.15%
Doubles every ~11.6yr
Payout Ratio
118.58%
At Risk
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+5.37%
5yr CAGR
+6.15%
10yr CAGR
+4.48%
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
Income Projection
Today
$1/mo
In 5 yrs
$2/mo
In 10 yrs
$3/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$18/yr $1/mo | $24/yr+35% $2/mo | $33/yr+82% $3/mo |
Yield-on-cost grows from 1.8% → 3.26% over 10yr
Analysis
Dividend Aristocrat
TNC has raised its dividend for 38 consecutive years — qualifying as a Dividend Aristocrat, demonstrating long-term commitment to shareholder income.
Well-covered by free cash flow
The dividend is covered 2.0× by free cash flow, indicating the company generates sufficient cash to sustain and potentially grow the payout without straining its finances.
Strong dividend growth rate
The 5-year CAGR of 6.15% meaningfully outpaces inflation, compounding real income growth for long-term holders.
High payout ratio
With 118.58% of earnings paid as dividends, there is limited retained earnings for reinvestment — and a dividend cut becomes more likely if earnings decline.
64.74
Volume
175.38K
Shares outstanding
17.04M