NYSE · TRGP
Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream
$285.71▲ 0.33% ($0.94)today
As of 11:23 AM ET
Market cap
$61.33B
P/E
To support a price of $285.71, this model requires Stage 1 FCFF to grow by 8.04%/yr over the next 5 years, compounded annually.
Historical FCFF grew by 13.28%/yr over the past 10 years. The required annual growth rate is 5.24 percentage points lower.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
13.28%/yr · Stage 1 default · years 1–5
Annual overrides take precedence over the Stage 1 default.
Market-implied · Other assumptions held fixed
8.04%/yr · Stage 1 · years 1–5
Stage 1 growth is solved while Stage 2 growth, terminal growth, discount inputs, and annual overrides remain fixed. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$285.71
Estimated value / share
$379.37
Base scenario
This estimate is 32.78% above the price used.
Interest expense not reported — cost of debt may be understated.
FCFF base normalized by replacing latest capex with the company's trailing median capex-to-revenue ratio.
CapEx normalization was capped: company appears to be in a multi-year investment cycle. Median-based capex floor applied at 60% of TTM capex.
Historical FCFF CAGR and the default growth rates are taken from the raw historical series. The valuation base is normalized for the current-period DCF.
Reported total debt includes capitalised leases (~3% of the total). They are excluded from net debt and from the WACC weights because rent is already charged inside operating income. The Net Debt shown here is therefore lower than the balance-sheet figure elsewhere on this page.
Stage 1 13.28% · Stage 2 7.3% · Discount rate 7.92%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future free cash flow, discounted to its value today.
FCFF is positive, but the year-to-year swings are too large for a direct CAGR. Normalize the cash-flow base first, then run DCF.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 6 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 48.9%.
TRGP
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock rose 71.6% over the last year. Revenue declined 2.2% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 18.11% to 23.13%. Free cash flow grew 73.31% over the trailing twelve months.
The stock is trading toward the richer end of its historical P/FCF range (89th percentile) while business metrics are improving. More of the upside is already embedded in the multiple now.
Operating margin is at 23.13% — continued expansion would be needed to justify the premium. This read changes if revenue, margins, and cash flow continue to improve faster than expected — in that case the richer multiple could still prove conservative.
Performance
Company profile
Targa Resources Corp., alongside its subsidiary Targa Resources Partners LP, is a significant entity in the North American midstream energy sector, focusing on the ownership, operation, acquisition, and development of crucial energy infrastructure assets.
Market multiples
Stock splits
No stock splits recorded for this ticker.
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
27
Buy
7
Hold
0
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Nov 4, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $2.66 · Revenue est $4.87B
View
Dividends
$4.50/shareQuarterly5yr growth streakStretchedTRGP pays a dividend with a 1.58% dividend yield, 5 consecutive years of growth, growing at 62.27% annually, covered 0.7× by free cash flow.
Dividend Yield
1.58%
Annual Div / Share
$4.50
5yr CAGR
+62.27%
Doubles every ~1.4yr
Payout Ratio
40.68%
Stretched
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+38.33%
5yr CAGR
+62.27%
10yr CAGR
+2.14%
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
Income Projection
Today
$1/mo
In 5 yrs
$2/mo
In 10 yrs
$4/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$16/yr $1/mo | $28/yr+76% $2/mo | $49/yr+211% $4/mo |
Long-range projections use a capped 12% annual growth assumption.
Yield-on-cost grows from 1.58% → 4.89% over 10yr
Analysis
Strong dividend growth rate
The 5-year CAGR of 62.27% meaningfully outpaces inflation, compounding real income growth for long-term holders.
Dividend exceeds free cash flow
Free cash flow covers only 0.71× the dividend. The company is paying out more than it generates in cash, which is unsustainable without borrowing or asset sales.
27.12
Volume
142.02K
Shares outstanding
214.64M