NASDAQ · TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Manufacturers

$363.56▼ 1.16% ($4.25)at close

After hours$363.556:34 PM ET

52-week

$297.38$498.83

Market cap

$1.44T

What the market price implies · Reverse DCF

Historical revenue grew by 15.21%/yr over the past 4 years.

Selected forecast · Base scenario

8.86%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth

Year 1 growth: 13.89%

Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins

Unavailable · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth

Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.

No supported revenue growth rate matches this price with these operating assumptions.

Valuation

Recommended · Revenue & margin DCF

Price used

$363.56

Estimated value / share

Unavailable

Base scenario

USD · TTM ending 2026-06-30

8 of 10 projected years produce negative free cash flow, so the model returns a negative enterprise value. A discounted-cash-flow valuation cannot be defended on those inputs, so it is not shown.

Latest quarterly growth differs materially from the latest annual pace. It remains an observed growth input; review whether acceleration or a change in the business explains it.

Year 1 growth 13.89% · Ending margin 4.22% · Discount rate 15%

Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.

Method, dates & sources

Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.

Price timestamp: Sep 10, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
Financial statement period: TTM ending 2026-06-30
Data refreshed: Sep 10, 2026, 10:34 PM UTC · provider

Why this method?

There is not a stable run of positive FCFF to anchor a direct cash-flow CAGR, so the model should start from revenue and margin assumptions instead.

Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? Only 1 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.

Price vs Fundamentals

Why The Stock Is Moving

Mixed / unclearLow confidence

1Y Price: 4.53%Revenue (TTM): 11.75%FCF (TTM): 3.15%P/E: 81st pct

What changed

The stock rose 4.53% over the last year. Revenue grew 11.75% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 6.06% to 4.22%. Free cash flow grew 3.15% over the trailing twelve months.

What the market seems to be pricing

The stock has moved higher against modestly improving underlying metrics. The operating data does not yet tell a clear story — the move may reflect sentiment, sector rotation, or macro factors rather than company-specific earnings power.

What would invalidate this read

Operating margin currently stands at 4.22%. A decisive move in revenue — currently up 11.75% — would be the clearest signal to resolve the ambiguity.

Performance

Return analysis

Company profile

Tesla, Inc. operates globally, specializing in the creation, production, and distribution of electric vehicles, alongside comprehensive energy generation and storage solutions.

CEOElon R. Musk

SectorConsumer Cyclical

IndustryAuto - Manufacturers

Employees134,785

IPO dateJun 29, 2010

https://www.tesla.com

Market multiples

Forward P/E—

EV/EBITDA122.60

Enterprise value$1.44T

Stock splits

Aug 25, 2022↑ Forward

Every 1 shares became 3

+200%

Aug 31, 2020↑ Forward

Every 1 shares became 5

+400%

Profitability & growth

Revenue growth25.52%

Gross margin18.85%▲0.2ppvs FY2024

Operating margin4.22%▼2.7ppvs FY2024

ROE4.65%▼0.2ppvs FY2025

Analyst consensus

RatingHold

Target price$436.08▲19.95%

Buy

Hold

Sell

Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.

Earnings

Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.

Next report

Oct 28, 2026

Q4 FY26 · EPS est $0.47 · Revenue est $27.63B

View