NYSE · VEL
Velocity Financial, Inc.
Financial Services · Financial - Mortgages
$15.02▼ 0.66% ($0.10)at close
As of 4:00 PM ET
Market cap
$589.61M
P/E
5.48
EPS (TTM)
$2.74
Next earnings
Oct 29, 2026
Valuation
P/E Valuation
Verdict: cheap. Price below all scenarios.
Estimated value / share · Base
$28.28
+88%Price vs. estimate range
Assumption scenarios, not confidence intervals
Bear $26.13, Base $28.28, Bull $28.36; price used $15.02
Bear $26.13, Base $28.28, Bull $28.36; price used $15.02
- P/E multiple
- 10.3×
- Earnings basis
- Trailing EPS
USD · Trailing earnings · Price Sep 30, 8:00 PM UTC
Price vs Fundamentals
Why The Stock Is Moving
Note: The most recent financial data is over 3 months old. Metrics shown may not reflect the latest reporting period.
What changed
The stock fell 17.2% over the last year. Revenue grew 32.46% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 29.53% to 70.7%. Free cash flow declined 15.56% over the trailing twelve months.
What the market seems to be pricing
Visible fundamentals weakened far less than the stock price. The market appears to be discounting durability, risk, or trust rather than just the latest reported numbers.
What would invalidate this read
This read changes if operating margin (currently 70.7%) continues to decline, or if revenue growth turns negative. The bull case requires the business to hold its current trajectory.
Return analysis
Company profile
Operating across the United States, Velocity Financial, Inc. functions as a specialized real estate finance firm.
Market multiples
Stock splits
No stock splits recorded for this ticker.
Profitability & growth
Standard profitability metrics can be misleading for financial/insurance companies. GAAP requires unrealized investment gains/losses in net income (affecting ROE), and margins are blended across diverse business segments.
Analyst consensus
5
Buy
1
Hold
1
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Oct 29, 2026
Q3 FY26 · EPS est $0.72 · Revenue est $93.15M
View
Institutional Sentiment
Velocity Financial, Inc. · VEL
From Form 13F filings (managers with $100M+). Filings land up to 45 days after quarter end — read this as positioning context, not live fund flow.