NYSE · VLO
Valero Energy Corporation
Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
$426.76▲ 1.78% ($7.48)at close
After hours$426.50▼ 0.06%7:05 PM ET
Valuation
Revenue & margin DCF
Verdict: cheap. Price below all scenarios.
The price holds with revenue shrinking 3.9% a year for 10 years. Our scenarios assume 5.3–9.3%.
That's below its past 4-year pace of 1.9%.
Value per share
Base case
$1,119.52
Price used $426.76 is 62% below this
USD · TTM ending Sep 30, 2026 · Price Oct 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Revenue each value needs
Revenue today $147B. The price needs $98.9B by 2036. Base case: $300B. At its recent pace: $177B. Bear to Bull: $247B to $356B.
Revenue today $147B. The price needs $98.9B by 2036. Base case: $300B. At its recent pace: $177B. Bear to Bull: $247B to $356B.
Revenue in 2036
today $147B
−$202Bless than the Base case
Value per share · Base case
$1,119.52
Price $426.76
62% below this
- 10-yr revenue CAGR
- 7.4%
- Ending operating margin
- 6.0%
- Discount rate
- 6.3%
USD · TTM ending Sep 30, 2026 · Price Oct 26, 8:00 PM UTC
What each scenario assumes. Click a column to start from it.
Price vs Fundamentals
Why The Stock Is Moving
What changed
The stock rose 144.77% over the last year. Revenue grew 19.33% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 1.59% to 11.97%.
What the market seems to be pricing
The stock is trading toward the richer end of its historical P/FCF range (64th percentile) while business metrics are improving. More of the upside is already embedded in the multiple now.
What would invalidate this read
Operating margin is at 11.97% — continued expansion would be needed to justify the premium. Revenue growth of 19.33% is encouraging, but any deceleration puts the stretched multiple at risk. This read changes if revenue, margins, and cash flow continue to improve faster than expected — in that case the richer multiple could still prove conservative.
Return analysis
Company profile
Valero Energy Corporation functions as a global producer and marketer of transportation fuels and petrochemicals, with operations spanning the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, and other international territories.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 500 shares became 547
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
21
Buy
15
Hold
2
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Actuals vs estimates by quarter, or any quarter against the same one a year earlier.
Next report
Feb 4, 2027
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $19.41 · Revenue est $41.6B
Same quarter, year over year
FY26 YTD +495.3%Each cell vs the same quarter a year earlier (the cell below) · Q1–Q3 combined $40.66 vs $6.83 · all 3 quarters up
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
FY total
FY26
—
FY25
FY24
FY23
—
—
—
—
Fiscal year totals
- FY25
- $10.65
- +28.2%
- FY24
- $8.31
- —
Q3 FY26
Reported Oct 22, 2026 · Latest
HoverTap a cell to inspect
Actual
$23.90
Estimate
$21.17
Year over year
+553.0%
Vs prior quarter
+90.6%
Institutional Sentiment
Valero Energy Corporation · VLO
From Form 13F filings (managers with $100M+). Filings land up to 45 days after quarter end — read this as positioning context, not live fund flow.